University of Rhode Island '20
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 78.55 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.082 rating points from 284 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 17–35 (33%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 3 | — | 12–18 |
| Spring 2018 | 1 | — | 1–9 |
| Spring 2017 | 1 | — | 4–8 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (51 matches) the record is 16–35 against 14.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-13 | Women's Team Race National Invitational | crew | 1.95 | 2.35 | 7–12 | 5.7 | +0.40 | 0.4 | 32% |
| 2019-03-24 | Duplin Women's Team Race | crew | 1.82 | 2.92 | 4–6 | 2.1 | +1.09 | 1.6 | 12% |
| 2018-03-24 | Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race | crew | 2.54 | 1.19 | 1–9 | 2.9 | −1.35 | 1.6 | 97% |
| 2017-03-25 | Duplin Women's Team Race | crew | 2.42 | 2.33 | 4–8 | 4.2 | −0.09 | 0.0 | 67% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Collegiate Offshore - B Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 3.2 | — |
| Rhody Riveter Womens' Women's | Crew | A | 15 | 6.8 | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Salt Pond Invite | Crew | B | 12 | 2.9 | — |
| McMillan Cup 2019 Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 3.7 | — |
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 5.2 | — |
| Harvard Invitational | Crew | B | 5 | 5.2 | — |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Crew | A | 8 | 3.1 | — |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Invitational Women's | Crew | TR | 19 | 37% | — |
| Southern 5 | Crew | A | 15 | 5.7 | — |
| Salve Sunday 2 | Crew | A | 10 | 5.8 | — |
| Morris Trophy | Crew | A | 9 | 5.2 | — |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Crew | TR | 6 | 33% | — |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 10 | 40% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Salt Pond Invite | Crew | A | 7 | 6.7 | — |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invite | Crew | B | 6 | 5.0 | — |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 11.5 | — |
| Donaghy Bowl | Crew | B | 6 | 2.2 | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 8.8 | — |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 10.2 | — |
| Southern Series at URI | Crew | A | 8 | 3.1 | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 2 | 10.5 | — |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 8.5 | — |
| Navy Spring | Crew | B | 2 | 17.0 | — |
| Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 10 | 10% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 9.8 | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 8.0 | — |
| Women's Weekday Invite Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 5.2 | — |
| The Toni Deutsch MIT '58 Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 15 | 9.2 | — |
| Susan Rogers '75 Memorial Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 3.5 | — |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Crew | B | 7 | 7.9 | — |
| Amanda Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 4.0 | — |
| 2017 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 14 | 9.2 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series 7 | Crew | A | 10 | 6.2 | — |
| Southern 5 | Crew | A | 9 | 4.9 | — |
| President's Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 5 | 6.4 | — |
| J70 Tuesday Invite Three Keelboat | Crew | A | 4 | 3.5 | — |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 12 | 33% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Salt Pond Invite | Crew | A | 9 | 8.7 | — |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 6.6 | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 9 | 10.8 | — |
| Nickerson Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 7.1 | — |
| Donaghy Bowl | Crew | B | 4 | 2.2 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
