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Southern 5

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 140
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 149
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 200
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 227
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 267
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 308
7 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 375
8 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 390
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 9 2 1 2 3 4 7 1 5 3 3 1 1 2 1 45 Matthew Schryver '20
Samantha Hamilton '19
Brown University Brown University Bears A 4 8 3 8 7 7 4 3 2 1 6 3 3 1 2 62 Zachary Jordan '21 [1-7]
Blaire Mccarthy '23 [8-15]
Emilia Ruth '23 [1-7]
Brian Kirz '22 [8-15]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 2 14 2 1 5 2 1 6 3 8 5 5 6 6 6 72 Adrian Van Der Wal '22
Elizabeth Lonergan '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 7 5 5 3 4 3 5 8 6 4 8 8 4 3 4 77 Santiago Hirschmann '23
Elizabeth Silva '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 14 7 7 9 2 1 6 4 1 6 1 6 5 7 9 85 Kylie Castellano '21
Cecilia Schneider '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 5 1 10 4 1 OCS 9 2 7 2 7 4 7 8 11 95 Ryan Palardy '22
Wyle Goddard '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 1 9 8 11 6 OCS 8 7 9 5 12 9 2 5 3 112 Andrew Savage '19
Kahler Newsham '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 6 15 6 7 13 8 3 9 4 9 11 2 13 4 5 115 Kyle Nannig '21
Liz Kass '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 8 3 9 10 9 6 10 5 10 7 9 11 9 10 8 124 Lucie Ford '20
Allie Deluca '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B OCS 4 11 14 11 OCS 2 12 8 14 2 7 8 9 7 143 Molly Hanrahan '22 [1-15]
Mary Persico '21 [1-6]
Chase Guard '22 [7-15]
Brown University Brown University Bears B 11 6 13 12 16 5 13 10 11 10 14 10 11 11 12 165 Juan Briano '21 [1-7]
Camden Baer '21 [8-15]
Camden Baer '21 [1-7]
Juan Briano '21 [8-15]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 15 11 12 OCS 10 11 14 11 12 11 10 12 15 12 14 187 Adam Wolnikowski '21
Alexandra Contomichalos '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 13 12 15 15 15 10 12 14 14 BKD 4 14 12 13 13 188 Jonathan Schwartz '21
Allison Rice '23
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards B 10 10 14 5 8 12 16 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 15 193 John Holt '22 [1-7]
Jesus Esgueva '21 [8-15]
Jonah Raymond '22 [1-7]
Ryan Cloherty '22 [8-15]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 3 13 4 6 14 9 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 196 Alexandra Talbot '22 [1-10]
Waldo Can'Tbefound '26 [11-15]
Hailey Mckelvie '22 [1-10]
No Show [11-15]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards A 12 16 16 13 12 13 15 13 13 13 13 13 10 15 10 197 Andrew Reynolds '19
Victoria Kyle '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears111111111111111
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies222222222222222
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1555555555555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2666666666666666
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks333333333333333
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos444444444444444
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards777777777777777
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs888888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears999999999999999
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101010101010101010101010101010
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1131313131313131313131313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2141414141414141414141414141414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks171717171717171717171717171717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121212121212121212121212121212
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards151515151515151515151515151515
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs161616161616161616161616161616

Conditions — 04/06/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1020.2 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From WSW (256°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1020.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →