Brown University '23
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 87.45 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.087 rating points from 183 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 105–45 (70%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 7 | — | 56–27 |
| Spring 2022 | 3 | — | 32–11 |
| Fall 2021 | 1 | — | 4–5 |
| Spring 2020 | 1 | — | 13–2 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 12 graded regattas (150 matches) the record is 105–45 against 100.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.7). 3 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 9 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-29 | Women's Team Race National Championship | crew | 3.07 | 3.69 | 5–4 | 4.0 | +0.62 | 0.4 | 36% |
| 2023-04-15 | NEISA Women's Team Racing Championship | crew | 3.05 | 3.44 | 10–6 | 8.7 | +0.39 | 0.4 | 33% |
| 2023-04-08 | Yale Women's Team Race | crew | 3.00 | 3.75 | 11–5 | 9.1 | +0.75 | 1.0 | 19% |
| 2023-04-01 | Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy | crew | 2.97 | 4.32 | 11–2 | 8.4 | +1.35 | 2.3 | 8% |
| 2023-03-25 | Duplin Women’s TR | crew | 2.94 | 3.07 | 7–2 | 6.8 | +0.13 | 0.0 | 63% |
| 2023-03-18 | Brown Team Race Invite | crew | 2.95 | 2.55 | 10–4 | 10.8 | −0.40 | 0.2 | 83% |
| 2023-03-05 | Harvard Women's Team Race | crew | 3.04 | 1.29 | 2–4 | 3.8 | −1.74 | 2.2 | 99% |
| 2022-04-09 | Camel Women's Team Race | crew | 2.92 | 2.71 | 13–6 | 13.6 | −0.20 | 0.1 | 75% |
| 2022-03-26 | Joseph R. Duplin Trophy | crew | 2.93 | 3.35 | 9–1 | 8.6 | +0.42 | 0.1 | 57% |
| 2022-03-19 | Team Race Invite | crew | 2.99 | 2.86 | 10–4 | 10.3 | −0.13 | 0.0 | 71% |
| 2021-10-30 | Dave Perry Team Race | crew | 2.91 | 2.27 | 4–5 | 5.3 | −0.64 | 0.6 | 90% |
| 2020-02-29 | Women's Team Race | crew | 3.13 | 4.09 | 13–2 | 11.0 | +0.95 | 1.3 | 18% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 14 | 79% | — |
| Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Crew | TR | 19 | 58% | — |
| College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 10.0 | -0.14 |
| NEISA Women's Team Racing Championship Women's | Crew | TR | 17 | 65% | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 10.0 | -0.10 |
| Harvard Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 7 | 43% | — |
| Duplin Women’s TR Women's | Crew | TR | 14 | 71% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy Women's | Crew | TR | 14 | 86% | — |
| Brown Team Race Invite | Crew | TR | 16 | 75% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Crew | B | 14 | 6.1 | — |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Crew | C | 12 | 4.3 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Team Race Invite | Crew | TR | 13 | 62% | — |
| College Sailing Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | B | 1 | 11.0 | — |
| Joseph R. Duplin Trophy Women's | Crew | TR | 13 | 85% | — |
| Camel Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 19 | 68% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 4.2 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 5.3 | — |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Crew | C | 12 | 3.6 | — |
| Dave Perry Team Race | Crew | TR | 9 | 44% | — |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 15 | 87% | — |
| Navy Spring Womens Women's | Crew | A | 11 | 5.2 | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | A | 12 | 6.2 | — |
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Crew | B | 11 | 4.6 | — |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 5 | 5.6 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 5 | 2.0 | — |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Crew | A | 4 | 2.0 | — |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Crew | C | 4 | 6.5 | — |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern 5 | Crew | A | 7 | 5.9 | — |
| Morris Trophy | Crew | B | 9 | 6.0 | — |
| Central Series #1 | Crew | A | 5 | 4.6 | — |
| BU Trophy | Crew | B | 7 | 2.1 | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Nickerson Trophy 2018 | Crew | B | 9 | 9.0 | — |
| Lark Invite | Crew | A | 8 | 6.0 | — |
| Invite | Crew | B | 6 | 5.7 | — |
| Donaghy Bowl | Crew | B | 6 | 3.7 | — |
| Crew's Regatta | Crew | A | 6 | 2.8 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
