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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 41 50 91
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 51 68 119
3 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 83 68 151
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 69 86 155
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 93 62 155
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 84 73 157
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 90 97 187
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 95 115 210
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 125 105 230
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 104 133 237
11 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 112 127 239
12 Boston College Boston College Eagles 129 110 239
13 Boston University Boston University Terriers 135 110 245
14 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 113 139 252
15 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 157 132 289
16 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 152 159 311
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 4 6 1 2 1 4 1 2 10 1 8 41 Louisa Nordstrom '20 [1-12]
Claudia Loiacono '21 [1-10]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [11]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 7 2 11 4 2 2 2 1 5 4 7 51 Hannah Steadman '20 [1-12]
Annabelle Hutchinson '21 [1-9]
Caroline Bayless '23 [10-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 9 12 5 8 3 10 3 6 5 2 3 3 69 Emma Kaneti '22
Emma Jakobson '21
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 11 10 3 5 7 9 11 6 3 7 4 83 Kathryn Hall '21
Aisling Sullivan '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 8 15 7 1 11 1 9 9 4 12 1 84 Dana Haig '22
Brooke Mcgoldrick '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 3 14 6 7 6 6 8 3 7 13 2 90 Talia Toland '22 [1-12]
Ann Sheridan '22 [1-9, 12]
Mallory Hood '22 [10-11]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 12 1 1 9 10 5 14 3 7 12 2 DNF 93 Delaney Bamford '20 [1-12]
Alyssa Hall '20 [1-8]
Meghan Haviland '22 [9-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 5 9 12 8 3 8 10 4 1 15 12 95 Kelsey Slack '21
Sophia Schaefer '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 16 10 7 2 6 4 15 5 15 6 5 13 104 Carolyn Corbet '21
Kelley Phippen '22
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 13 11 10 9 9 13 4 14 9 11 6 112 Lolly Vasilion '22 [1-12]
Helen Field '21 [1-4]
Gabrielle Myers '21 [5-12]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 2 3 13 16 12 10 12 12 13 9 9 113 Analucia Clarkson '22 [1-12]
Marion Lemay '20 [1-10]
Alexandra Wagner '22 [11-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 15 4 15 11 15 12 7 16 8 6 5 125 Emma Snead '23 [1-12]
Mary Tran '22 [1-6]
Casey Gale '22 [7-10]
Lily Maranto '22 [11-12]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 14 9 12 5 12 8 11 13 10 16 8 11 129 Emma Batcher '22
Laura Ferraris '22
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 6 13 14 13 14 7 16 8 15 10 14 135 Allison Cahn '20
Maggie Alter '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 10 14 8 4 15 16 16 14 13 11 16 15 152 Grace Vincens '20 [1-8]
Lucie Ford '20 [9-12]
Caroline Mcneil '22 [1-8]
Allison Gilson '21 [9-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 16 16 16 14 13 5 15 11 14 14 10 157 Madeline Pope '21
Ariana Smaldone '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 4 3 3 4 4 3 5 11 1 5 1 50 Christine Klingler '20 [1-12]
Catherine Webb '23 [1-11]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [12]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 9 4 1 3 1 1 9 10 4 6 6 62 Rebecca Read '21
Sage Walters '21
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 7 6 4 7 2 4 2 5 12 1 14 68 Payton Thompson '23
Carlota Hopkins Guerra '22
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 1 5 8 2 3 6 3 3 RAF 8 3 68 Olivia Belda '22
Emilia Ruth '23
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 10 6 7 7 1 12 2 1 7 7 4 9 73 Kaila Pfrang '21 [1-12]
Elizabeth Obermaier '21 [1-11]
Maile Jim '22 [12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 16 9 2 12 9 5 4 4 3 2 15 86 Sarah Burn '24 [1-12]
Jessica Williams '20 [1-11]
Tess Avery '21 [12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 13 13 6 13 8 7 7 6 9 7 5 97 Abbie Carlson '22 [1-12]
Jessica Friedman '22 [1-7]
Mallory Hood '22 [8-9]
Charlotte Lenz '20 [10]
Lindsay Powers '21 [11-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 5 1 5 14 10 11 12 9 11 15 10 105 Emma Aubuchon '23 [1-12]
Lily Maranto '22 [1-10]
Mary Tran '22 [11-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 11 2 11 8 7 13 8 14 15 12 2 110 Carina Becker '21 [1-7]
Skye Shepherd '20 [8-12]
Tyler Davis '22 [1-7]
Olivia Cronin-Golomb '20 [8-12]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 14 10 11 14 11 13 10 6 2 5 3 11 110 Elizabeth Shanahan '23
Mikayla Mathieu '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 14 12 15 6 11 16 11 1 6 14 8 115 Teagan Cunningham '22 [1-3]
Ellie Maus '22 [4-12]
Emily Gonzalez '20 [1-3]
Hannah Konkel '20 [4-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 13 8 8 12 5 5 12 13 13 10 16 12 127 Grace Gear '23
Kiley Roach '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 11 3 16 10 15 15 9 10 12 13 11 7 132 Grace Woodcock '23
Julia O'Connor '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 12 15 9 9 14 8 14 8 2 13 DNF 133 Victoria Pajak '21 [1-12]
Morgan Termaat '23 [1-6, 9-12]
Ellen Reagan '20 [7-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 15 2 10 16 16 6 15 16 16 14 9 4 139 Aili Moffet '23 [1-3, 10-12]
Hailey Pemberton '23 [4-5]
Christina Van Dyke '23 [6-9]
Katherine Wetzel '23 [1-3, 6-10]
Alexandra Wagner '22 [4-5]
Marion Lemay '20 [11-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 16 15 14 13 10 16 14 15 15 8 10 13 159 Allison Deluca '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Caroline King '21 [3]
Pearl Lattanzi '23 [4]
Kamila Harting '23 [1-2]
Allison Gilson '21 [3]
Alexa Percell '20 [4-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111616151514141313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221116161515
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears13131414151516161122
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green665544332211
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778899101011111212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers887766554433
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9910101111121213131414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414131312121111101099
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks10109988776655
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111112121313141415151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121211111010998877
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515161611223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs161615151414131312121111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445566
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111616151514141313
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221116161515
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears13131414151516161122
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels55667788991010
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green665544332211
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778899101011111212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers887766554433
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9910101111121213131414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414131312121111101099
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks10109988776655
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111112121313141415151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121211111010998877
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515161611223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs161615151414131312121111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Emma Batcher '22 Laura Ferraris '22
Eagles Elizabeth Shanahan '23 Mikayla Mathieu '22
Boston University Boston University Allison Cahn '20 Maggie Alter '22
Terriers Carina Becker '21 [1-7]
Skye Shepherd '20 [8-12]		 Tyler Davis '22 [1-7]
Olivia Cronin-Golomb '20 [8-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Kelsey Slack '21 Sophia Schaefer '22
Polar Bears Teagan Cunningham '22 [1-3]
Ellie Maus '22 [4-12]		 Emily Gonzalez '20 [1-3]
Hannah Konkel '20 [4-12]
Brown University Brown University Hannah Steadman '20 [1-12] Annabelle Hutchinson '21 [1-9]
Caroline Bayless '23 [10-12]
Bears Olivia Belda '22 Emilia Ruth '23
Connecticut College Connecticut College Analucia Clarkson '22 [1-12] Marion Lemay '20 [1-10]
Alexandra Wagner '22 [11-12]
Camels Aili Moffet '23 [1-3, 10-12]
Hailey Pemberton '23 [4-5]
Christina Van Dyke '23 [6-9]		 Katherine Wetzel '23 [1-3, 6-10]
Alexandra Wagner '22 [4-5]
Marion Lemay '20 [11-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Kathryn Hall '21 Aisling Sullivan '22
Big Green Payton Thompson '23 Carlota Hopkins Guerra '22
Harvard University Harvard University Emma Kaneti '22 Emma Jakobson '21
Crimson Sarah Burn '24 [1-12] Jessica Williams '20 [1-11]
Tess Avery '21 [12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Dana Haig '22 Brooke Mcgoldrick '20
Engineers Kaila Pfrang '21 [1-12] Elizabeth Obermaier '21 [1-11]
Maile Jim '22 [12]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Carolyn Corbet '21 Kelley Phippen '22
Huskies Victoria Pajak '21 [1-12] Morgan Termaat '23 [1-6, 9-12]
Ellen Reagan '20 [7-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Madeline Pope '21 Ariana Smaldone '20
Hawks Grace Woodcock '23 Julia O'Connor '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Grace Vincens '20 [1-8]
Lucie Ford '20 [9-12]		 Caroline Mcneil '22 [1-8]
Allison Gilson '21 [9-12]
Seahawks Allison Deluca '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Caroline King '21 [3]
Pearl Lattanzi '23 [4]		 Kamila Harting '23 [1-2]
Allison Gilson '21 [3]
Alexa Percell '20 [4-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Talia Toland '22 [1-12] Ann Sheridan '22 [1-9, 12]
Mallory Hood '22 [10-11]
Jumbos Abbie Carlson '22 [1-12] Jessica Friedman '22 [1-7]
Mallory Hood '22 [8-9]
Charlotte Lenz '20 [10]
Lindsay Powers '21 [11-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Emma Snead '23 [1-12] Mary Tran '22 [1-6]
Casey Gale '22 [7-10]
Lily Maranto '22 [11-12]
Bears Emma Aubuchon '23 [1-12] Lily Maranto '22 [1-10]
Mary Tran '22 [11-12]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Delaney Bamford '20 [1-12] Alyssa Hall '20 [1-8]
Meghan Haviland '22 [9-12]
Rams Rebecca Read '21 Sage Walters '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Lolly Vasilion '22 [1-12] Helen Field '21 [1-4]
Gabrielle Myers '21 [5-12]
Catamounts Grace Gear '23 Kiley Roach '21
Yale University Yale University Louisa Nordstrom '20 [1-12] Claudia Loiacono '21 [1-10]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [11]
Kathryn Clulo '21 [12]
Bulldogs Christine Klingler '20 [1-12] Catherine Webb '23 [1-11]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [12]

Conditions — 10/26/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1023.8 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover65% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1023.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 4 kn · SE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →