University of Rhode Island '22
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 38.00 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.109 rating points from 35 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.80 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 8 | Fall 2015 |
| Keelboat | 0.94 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 4 | Spring 2017 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.66 (fleet 2.28) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 30–46 (39%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 4 | 17–34 | — |
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 9–6 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 4–6 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (76 matches) the record is 30–46 against 26.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.0). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 10 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-09 | Mystic Lake TR | skipper | 2.10 | 0.69 | 2–8 | 4.5 | −1.42 | 2.4 | 99% |
| 2022-03-26 | Jan T. Friis Team Race | skipper | 2.08 | -0.92 | 0–16 | 0.9 | ≤−3.00 | 1.3 | >99% |
| 2022-03-19 | Team Race Invite | skipper | 2.17 | 2.46 | 10–7 | 9.1 | +0.29 | 0.2 | 41% |
| 2022-03-12 | MIT Team Race Invite | skipper | 2.11 | 2.53 | 5–3 | 4.4 | +0.42 | 0.2 | 47% |
| 2020-02-29 | Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.69 | 3.04 | 9–6 | 5.0 | +1.36 | 4.0 | 2% |
| 2019-03-24 | Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.82 | 2.92 | 4–6 | 2.1 | +1.09 | 1.6 | 12% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 13 | 69% | — |
| Rhody the Riveter Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.9 | 0.80 |
| Mystic Lake TR | Skipper | TR | 12 | 25% | — |
| MIT Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 8 | 75% | — |
| Jan T. Friis Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 0% | — |
| Boston University Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.1 | 2.14 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's ACC's Round 1A Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 13.3 | 1.76 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.3 | 2.11 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.4 | 2.10 |
| The 24th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 9.8 | 2.61 |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 15 | 60% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Crew | A | 3 | 7.0 | — |
| NEISA Match Race Championship, Larry White Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| Mt. Hope Invite | Skipper | A | 7 | 11.9 | 1.04 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.0 | 1.64 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 9.2 | — |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 6.9 | — |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Crew | A | 6 | 14.3 | — |
| President's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.6 | 0.32 |
| NEISA Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A, B | 3 | 10.0 | — |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 10 | 40% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 13.4 | — |
| Central Series Two | Skipper | B | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | A | 4 | 5.5 | — |
| Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 13.0 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.5 | 1.57 |
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | B | 7 | 9.3 | 1.16 |
| Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.0 | 1.82 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Meghan Haviland |  Sharon High School |
'17 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
