Northeastern University '23
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 68.09 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.071 rating points from 415 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | Northeastern University | 2.40 | 67.75 | 54.17 | 6 of 12 | 24 | Team page |
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.20 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 8 | Fall 2017 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.07 (fleet 1.49) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–8 (11%) as crew 10–23 (30%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 2 | — | 3–12 |
| Spring 2022 | 1 | — | 5–3 |
| Spring 2019 | 2 | 1–8 | 2–8 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (42 matches) the record is 11–31 against 8.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.4). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-25 | Duplin Women’s TR | crew | 1.40 | 1.08 | 2–7 | 2.4 | −0.33 | 0.1 | 79% |
| 2023-03-05 | Sharpe Trophy Team Race | crew | 2.21 | 2.60 | 1–5 | 0.8 | +0.39 | 0.1 | 59% |
| 2022-03-26 | Last Chance Women's Team Race | crew | 2.37 | 3.65 | 5–3 | 2.6 | +1.28 | 2.2 | 8% |
| 2019-04-13 | Women's Team Race National Invitational | crew | 2.29 | 2.91 | 2–8 | 1.2 | +0.61 | 0.4 | 36% |
| 2019-03-24 | Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.36 | 0.76 | 1–8 | 1.6 | −0.60 | 0.3 | 85% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sharpe Trophy Team Race | Crew | TR | 7 | 29% | — |
| College Sailing National Invitational | Crew | B | 12 | 5.7 | +0.27 |
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | A | 2 | 14.0 | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 4 | 13.5 | -0.06 |
| Navy Women's Spring Fleet Race Women's | Crew | B | 1 | 7.0 | +0.02 |
| Duplin Women’s TR Women's | Crew | TR | 9 | 22% | — |
| Alymers Trophy | Crew | A | 7 | 3.9 | +0.12 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Dinghy Tournament Women's | Crew | A | 4 | 12.8 | — |
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Crew | B | 2 | 12.0 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 13.1 | — |
| Schell Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 14.2 | — |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 13.3 | — |
| Rudi Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 13 | 9.6 | — |
| The 25th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 11.9 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Sunday Salve Invite | Crew | A | 5 | 4.0 | — |
| Saturday Salve Invite | Crew | A | 6 | 2.8 | — |
| College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinals Women's | Crew | A, B | 8 | 11.8 | — |
| Rhody the Riveter Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 6.0 | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship Women's | Crew | A | 15 | 11.4 | — |
| Last Chance Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| George Morris Trophy | Crew | A | 10 | 10.8 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 15 | 6.7 | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 8.5 | — |
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 10.6 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Crew | A | 14 | 13.5 | — |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Crew | C | 12 | 9.0 | — |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 15.0 | — |
| The 24th Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 11 | 12.5 | — |
| Chris Loder Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 8.0 | — |
| The 2021 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 12.8 | — |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Icebreaker Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 7 | 9.1 | 1.58 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 11.1 | — |
| Women's Showcase Qualifier A Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 6.9 | — |
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 10.4 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.7 | 1.52 |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 10.2 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 6.3 | — |
| Jen Harris Women's Showcase Championship Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 11.6 | — |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Invitational Women's | Crew | TR | 20 | 20% | — |
| ODU Spring Women's Women's | Crew | B | 3 | 9.7 | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 9.1 | — |
| NEISA Coed Championship | Crew | A | 2 | 15.0 | — |
| Icebreaker Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.5 | 1.03 |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 11.2 | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Final B Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 5.8 | — |
| Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 8.9 | — |
| Sister Esther Open | Crew | B | 10 | 13.2 | — |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 5 | 11.4 | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 8 | 10.4 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 10.1 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Morgan Termaat |  Mounds View High School |
'18 |
| ISSA | Morgan Termaat |  Mahtomedi |
'18 |
| ISSA | Morgan Termaat |  Eden Prairie Sailing Team |
'18 |
| ISSA | Morgan Termaat |  Mounds Park Academy |
'18 |
| ISSA | Morgan Termaat |  Visitation School |
'18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
