Alymers Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 52
2 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 60
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 76
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 112
5 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 129
6 Williams College Williams College Ephs 151
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 155
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix A 2 3 1 4 2 2 7 21 James Jagielski '25
Solomiiia Kachur '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 5 1 10 2 1 4 1 24 Nils Tullberg '23
Garrett Moen '23
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 3 4 5 8 4 1 2 27 Sylvia Burns '26
Morgan Termaat '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 1 2 3 7 3 8 4 28 Emil Tullberg '25
Shannon Gondoly '25
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix B 4 5 7 6 5 7 5 39 Peter Schnell '26
Allysen Bell '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 8 9 4 1 11 12 3 48 Caleb Burt '25
Andrew Dyment '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 7 6 2 14 6 3 11 49 Oliver Dietter '27
Andrew Wagner '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 9 10 6 5 8 9 6 53 Sonja Krajewski '26
Amelia Fisher '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 6 12 11 11 7 5 12 64 John Van Zanten '25
John Divelbiss '24
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 10 8 8 13 10 11 13 73 William Procter '24
Annabelle Wyman '25
Williams College Williams College Ephs A 12 14 12 3 12 13 9 75 Felix Nusbaum '25
Varya Kluev '25
Williams College Williams College Ephs B 11 13 14 9 9 6 14 76 Charles Maier '26
Kira Hernandez '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 13 7 9 10 13 14 10 76 Kathleen Hanson '25
Devyn Weed '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 14 11 13 12 14 10 8 82 Grace Augspurger '25
Maggie Hannis '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1111111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers2222222
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats6666666
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies3333333
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix4444444
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks16161616161616
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs7777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers8888888
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers9999999
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats13131313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10101010101010
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix11111111111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks14141414141414
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs5555555

Conditions — 04/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1033.7 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From SE (128°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1033.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.27 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →