Donaghy Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 16 13 29
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 21 13 34
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 13 22 35
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 23 38
5 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 36 20 56
6 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 41 45 86
7 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 49 MRP 58 MRP 107 MRP
8 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 65 MRP 62 MRP 127 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 4 1 1 4 2 13 Jed Bell '23
Jack Papetti '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 2 3 3 1 4 15 Caroline King '21
Allison Gilson '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 1 5 2 3 1 16 Matthew Schryver '20
Samantha Hamilton '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 3 4 4 2 5 21 Evan Robison '21
Ann Sheridan '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 8 6 6 5 5 6 36 Mitchell Owen '20
Nicole Flaherty '20
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 6 5 8 8 7 7 41 Anne Cathrine Longo '20 [1-2]
Sarah Woodward '21 [3-6]
Alexandra Burke '21 [1-2]
Chonghao Bi '20 [3-6]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 5 7 2 6 6 3 49 MRP Abraham Kipnis '19
Marguerite Humphrey '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 7 8 7 7 8 8 65 MRP Griffin Brayer '20
Justin Stott '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 2 5 2 1 2 13 Kylie Castellano '21
Cecilia Schneider '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 1 3 3 2 1 13 Ryutaro Sochi '22
Mallory Hood '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 4 3 1 4 4 4 20 Lillian Vincens '19
Lilliana Delmonico '20
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 6 2 1 3 5 22 Emma Montgomery '22
Emilia Ruth '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 4 4 5 5 3 23 Jeffrey Evans '20
Chase Guard '22
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 8 8 7 8 7 7 45 Maxwell Miller '21 [1-2]
Colby Brennan '20 [3-6]
Keenan Rivers '20 [1-2]
Christopher Ryan '21 [3-6]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 6 5 8 7 6 6 58 MRP Simon Rothman '21
Preksha Sreewastav '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 7 7 6 6 8 8 62 MRP Benjamin Xu '22
Austin Schofield '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears113355
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies557711
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags224466
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen668822
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams771133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks335577
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos446688
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals882244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears224466
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies668822
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags335577
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen771133
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams882244
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks446688
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos557711
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals113355

Conditions — 09/16/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SSW (206°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1022.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U. Connecticut: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Connecticut by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U. Connecticut, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →