Central Series #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 23 33
2 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 25 17 42
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 23 20 43
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 26 23 49
5 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 29 22 51
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 24 27 51
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 26 31 57
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 46 33 79
9 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 35 45 80
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 56 38 94
11 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 44 54 98
12 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 47 58 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 2 1 4 1 10 Caleb Robinson '22
Liam Dwyer '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 4 4 8 6 23 Gabriel Hannon '20
Emilia Ruth '23
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 3 6 9 2 24 Adeline Schoen '22
Jack Denker '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 6 1 2 DSQ 3 25 Alexander Bowen '20
Kaylee Mutch '22
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 5 6 7 1 7 26 Blaire Mccarthy '23
Justin Chiang '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 8 5 2 4 26 Lucie Ford '20
Mary Persico '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 3 5 3 10 8 29 Alexander Baskin '19
Erich Wu '19
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 9 7 8 6 5 35 Brian Hayes '21
Kelsey Black '21
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 8 10 10 7 9 44 Andrew Reynolds '19
Victoria Kyle '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 10 12 9 5 10 46 Tucker Braun '22
Thomas Dunn '21
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 9 12 3 11 47 Colby Brennan '20
Ellen Quintana '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 11 11 11 11 12 56 Jacob Philbrook '22
Juan Colon '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 6 5 3 2 1 17 Stephen Poirier '22
Sydney Clays '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 2 1 7 7 3 20 Emma Montgomery '22
Catherine Mcclenahan '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 8 1 4 5 22 Ben Arquit '20
Nicholas Leshaw '22
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 2 2 8 10 23 Skye Shepherd '20
Megan Blagden '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 3 8 5 2 23 Caroline King '21
Allison Gilson '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 4 10 1 4 27 Carter Brock '22
Sarah Pierce '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 3 7 4 10 7 31 Camden Baer '21 [1-2, 5]
Juan Briano '21 [3-4]
Juan Briano '21 [1-2, 5]
Camden Baer '21 [3-4]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 7 6 5 6 9 33 Auguste Pizzano '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 9 9 9 3 8 38 Maya Stephani '20
Olivia Benoit '22
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 11 DNS 6 9 6 45 Wynn Simmons '21
Graham Hughes '20
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 10 10 12 11 11 54 Jesus Esgueva '21
Abigail Peterson '20
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 11 11 12 12 58 Maxwell Miller '21
Ben Gormley '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11335
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 122446
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 233557
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111113
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 144668
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 255779
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3668810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers779911
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101012
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers9911111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101012122
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1212224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 133557
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 244668
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1212224
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 155779
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2668810
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3779911
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers88101012
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911111
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers101012122
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111113
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards11335

Conditions — 03/17/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From WNW (281°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →