Crew's Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 15 15 30
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 18 18 36
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 31 9 40
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 20 29 49
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 17 34 51
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 36 27 63
7 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 36 52 88
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 51 42 93
9 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 50 44 94
10 Engineers Engineers Engineers 86 MRP 86 MRP 172 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 15 Aidan Biondi '22
Alexander Rothberg '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 2 5 4 2 2 17 Sloane Kratzman '22
Emilia Ruth '23
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 5 1 5 1 1 18 Romain Astie '20
Jack Denker '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 6 4 1 3 3 20 Jessica Friedman '22
George Sidamon-Eristoff '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 7 3 3 2 OCS 5 31 Kelsey Foster '20
Lera Anders '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 4 4 8 7 6 7 36 Juan Colon '22
Joshua Nehrings '21
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 6 7 6 6 5 6 36 Meghan Timmons '21
Olivia Laroche '22
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges DNS 8 7 8 7 9 50 Andy Hoffman '21
Hanil Kang '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 8 9 9 9 8 8 51 William Tagliamonte '21
Sydney Kiedeisch '22
Engineers Engineers Engineers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 86 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 9 Kristina Puzak '22
Hailey Mckelvie '22
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 3 1 3 1 4 3 15 Juan Briano '21
Justin Chiang '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 4 4 3 1 2 18 Bridget Maguire '22
Julia Zaleski '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 6 5 2 7 3 4 27 Jacob Philbrook '22
Jonathan Anderson '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 6 6 5 5 5 29 Rose O'Neal '22
Alexandra Talbot '22
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 5 3 8 6 6 6 34 Camden Baer '21
Paul Secchia '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 9 7 7 4 7 8 42 Thomas Solano '22
Olivia Benoit '22
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 7 8 5 8 9 7 44 Jolie Gentzkow-Foster '21
Abby Smurzynski '21
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 8 9 9 9 8 9 52 Gretchen Willmuth '22 [1-2, 4-6]
Lindsey Mcbride '22 [3]
Lindsey Mcbride '22 [1-2, 4-6]
Gretchen Willmuth '22 [3]
Engineers Engineers Engineers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 86 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges224466
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2446688
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 166881010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 277991111
EngineersEngineers Engineers557799
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101022
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 199111133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 210102244
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue11113355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2557799
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 177991111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 288101022
EngineersEngineers Engineers66881010
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 110102244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 211113355
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue224466

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From WNW (300°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine3.1 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.48 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →