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Rhody Riveter Womens'

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 200
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 223
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 242
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 244
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 267
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 287
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 305
8 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 407
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 453
10 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 542
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears A 5 4 1 7 12 2 1 2 4 2 1 4 7 14 1 67 Caroline Bayless '23
Izzy Cox '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 2 1 2 9 1 1 9 7 10 14 17 9 5 4 11 102 Kylie Castellano '21
Cecilia Schneider '20
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 3 12 8 4 2 15 7 5 5 3 7 14 12 2 4 103 Emma Aubuchon '23 [1-15]
Gabrielle Doucot '23 [1-4, 9-15]
Leonora Krajewski '23 [5-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 B 13 17 14 11 6 14 3 3 3 4 10 2 1 7 2 110 Lera Anders '22
Mallory Hood '22
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 1 2 15 2 4 7 5 17 9 10 5 12 11 5 15 120 Emma Snead '23 [1-15]
Casey Gale '22 [1-8, 12-15]
Leonora Krajewski '23 [9-11]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 4 7 4 5 7 5 6 8 13 OCS 6 7 16 6 6 121 Madeline Pope '21
Kristi Dolan '20
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 10 11 11 16 9 11 10 9 2 1 4 8 3 13 5 123 Molly Matthews '23
Ariana Smaldone '20
Brown University Brown University Bears B 12 3 9 12 13 4 4 10 14 5 8 1 14 16 8 133 Elizabeth Rolfes '21
Sirine Benali '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 7 18 5 14 17 13 16 11 12 6 2 3 4 3 7 138 Grace Gear '23 [1-15]
Kiley Roach '21 [1-4, 9-15]
Helen Field '21 [5-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 8 5 3 13 5 17 14 14 6 8 12 6 9 8 12 140 Megan Gimple '22
Anika Martz '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 6 8 7 10 3 6 12 13 11 16 15 5 10 9 10 141 Claire Havig '21
Hannah Konkel '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 B 11 6 12 6 11 3 8 1 15 OCS 14 17 8 1 9 143 Chloe Holder '23
Cali Salinas '23
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 9 13 10 17 10 12 13 18 1 7 9 11 2 11 3 146 Kelsey Slack '21 [1-8]
Teagan Cunningham '22 [9-15]
Brooke Asherman '23 [1-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 A 16 10 6 1 8 9 15 16 8 13 3 16 6 17 13 157 Alexandra Talbot '22
Hailey Mckelvie '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 A 15 9 13 8 18 8 2 4 7 11 11 15 15 12 14 162 Elena Gonick '20
Delilah Roberts '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 14 14 16 15 15 10 11 6 17 12 16 10 13 15 16 200 Lucie Ford '20 [1-15]
Charlotte Martinez '23 [1-4]
Kamila Harting '23 [5-15]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 17 15 18 3 14 16 17 12 16 9 13 13 17 10 17 207 Molly Hanrahan '22 [1-15]
Allison Gilson '21 [1-4]
Tegan Tanner '23 [5-15]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags A 18 16 19 18 16 19 18 15 18 15 18 19 18 18 19 264 Lauren Gasek '22
Abigail Jones '21
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags B 19 19 17 19 19 18 19 19 19 17 19 18 19 19 18 278 Anastasia Mastrocola '23
Emily Lyons '22
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 315 Rowan Henke '21
Nellie Stidham '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111111111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears222222222222222
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears888888888888888
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags333333333333333
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams999999999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks444444444444444
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks555555555555555
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1666666666666666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2777777777777777
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts101010101010101010101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111111111111111111111111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears121212121212121212121212121212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears181818181818181818181818181818
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags131313131313131313131313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams191919191919191919191919191919
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks141414141414141414141414141414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks151515151515151515151515151515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1161616161616161616161616161616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2171717171717171717171717171717
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts202020202020202020202020202020

Conditions — 02/29/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1008.8 hPa

Temperature

33°F
↑ 36°F   ↓ 29°F
Feels like 23°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From W (271°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1008.8 hPa Snow0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.31 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →