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Harvard Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 13 9 22
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabies 19 17 36
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 13 28 41
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 25 26 51
5 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 19 33 52
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbo Ladies 46 26 72
7 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 39 38 77
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 48 31 79
9 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 34 48 82
10 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 60 46 106
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 53 66 119
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 68 58 126
13 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 62 MRP 71 MRP 133 MRP
14 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 66 MRP 68 MRP 134 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 1 6 2 2 2 13 Ivan Shestopalov '21
Fiona Mckellar '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 2 2 4 1 4 13 John Ped '21
Lynn Liu '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabies 3 3 1 9 3 19 Chloe Holder '23
Cali Salinas '23
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 1 5 8 1 19 Dylan Ascencios '24
Corinne Lee '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 5 3 4 8 25 Ryan Palardy '22
Liz Kass '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 8 4 10 7 5 34 Timothy Burns '22
Shay Doherty '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 7 7 11 3 11 39 Colin Snow '22 [1-2, 5]
Thomas Jagielski '22 [3-4]
Thomas Jagielski '22 [1-2]
Nathan Faber '23 [3-5]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbo Ladies 9 11 6 11 9 46 Alexandra Talbot '22 [1-5]
Hailey Mckelvie '22 [1-4]
George Sidamon-Eristoff '22 [5]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 10 8 10 10 48 Preston Anderson '22
Elijah Berger '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 8 14 12 13 53 Maeve Glancy '21
Seth Pardi '23
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 9 13 13 12 60 Anne Cathrine Longo '20
William Gasparrini '22
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 11 12 7 6 6 62 MRP Gabriel Tamayo '23
James Robertson '23
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 12 13 9 5 7 66 MRP Nicholas Memoli '20 [1-4]
Sarah Alix '23 [5]
Kerri Tracy '22 [1-4]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 14 14 12 14 14 68 Clayton Greig '22
Nicole Nelson '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 1 1 1 4 2 9 Alex Abate '22
Zoe Lallas '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabies 6 2 4 2 3 17 Annika Fedde '23
Juliana Testa '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 9 8 6 1 26 Kylie Castellano '21
Cecilia Schneider '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbo Ladies 4 12 5 1 4 26 Lera Anders '22
Rose O'Neal '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 3 8 2 8 7 28 Charles Lindsay '21
Maaya Prasad '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 5 3 10 6 31 Hattie Slayton '23
Brooke Asherman '23
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 7 6 5 10 33 Matthew Dickey '22
Juliana Ruggieri '23
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 11 3 12 3 9 38 Alexander Miller '22
Sparsh Bansal '22
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 4 11 9 12 46 Colby Brennan '20
Maxwell Miller '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 8 6 10 13 11 48 Elle Bukosky '22 [1-5]
Hannah Dillahunt '21 [1-2, 5]
Eileen Devane '20 [3-4]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 13 13 7 12 13 58 David Swan '21
Ceila Grace Lacey '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 14 10 14 14 14 66 Kennard Macvaugh '22
Kevin Collins '22
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 12 11 13 7 5 68 MRP Dane Phippen '23
Jordan Morris '23
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 9 14 9 11 8 71 MRP Ethan Merrill '20
Hélèna Cohen '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons11335
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22446
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1313151517
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson33559
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen141416161
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers66111113
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1446611
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2559912
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats151517172
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix99121214
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1616113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbabies1212141416
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbo Ladies1111131315
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech1717224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons22446
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33559
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies141416161
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson446611
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen151517172
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers99121214
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1559912
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 266111113
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1616113
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix1111131315
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbabies1313151517
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbo Ladies1212141416
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bentley University Bentley University Nicholas Memoli '20 [1-4]
Sarah Alix '23 [5]		 Kerri Tracy '22 [1-4]
Falcons Dane Phippen '23 Jordan Morris '23
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Preston Anderson '22 Elijah Berger '21
Polar Bears Hattie Slayton '23 Brooke Asherman '23
Harvard University Harvard University Dylan Ascencios '24 Corinne Lee '23
Crimson Matthew Dickey '22 Juliana Ruggieri '23
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Ivan Shestopalov '21 Fiona Mckellar '20
Engineers 1 Alex Abate '22 Zoe Lallas '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology John Ped '21 Lynn Liu '20
Engineers 2 Charles Lindsay '21 Maaya Prasad '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Maeve Glancy '21 Seth Pardi '23
Buccaneers Kennard Macvaugh '22 Kevin Collins '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Colin Snow '22 [1-2, 5]
Thomas Jagielski '22 [3-4]		 Thomas Jagielski '22 [1-2]
Nathan Faber '23 [3-5]
Phoenix Alexander Miller '22 Sparsh Bansal '22
Tufts University Tufts University Chloe Holder '23 Cali Salinas '23
Jumbabies Annika Fedde '23 Juliana Testa '21
Tufts University Tufts University Alexandra Talbot '22 [1-5] Hailey Mckelvie '22 [1-4]
George Sidamon-Eristoff '22 [5]
Jumbo Ladies Lera Anders '22 Rose O'Neal '22
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Anne Cathrine Longo '20 William Gasparrini '22
Huskies Colby Brennan '20 Maxwell Miller '21
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Timothy Burns '22 Shay Doherty '22
Minutemen Elle Bukosky '22 [1-5] Hannah Dillahunt '21 [1-2, 5]
Eileen Devane '20 [3-4]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Clayton Greig '22 Nicole Nelson '21
Wildcats David Swan '21 Ceila Grace Lacey '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Ryan Palardy '22 Liz Kass '22
Rams Kylie Castellano '21 Cecilia Schneider '20
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Gabriel Tamayo '23 James Robertson '23
Worcester Polytech Ethan Merrill '20 Hélèna Cohen '21

Conditions — 09/08/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1015.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.41 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →