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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 69
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 74
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 94
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 115
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 139
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 166
7 Minutemen Minutemen Minutemen 183
8 Terriers Terriers Terriers 272
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 A 2 5 1 1 1 5 2 8 25 Matthew Gibbs '17
Cecilia Schneider '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 8 1 3 4 2 1 5 1 25 Rebecca Read '21
Maguire Bennett '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 1 4 4 3 6 4 3 6 31 Christopher Pearson '20
Emerson Campbell '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 5 2 2 6 5 9 4 5 38 Matthew Schryver '20
Samantha Hamilton '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 3 12 9 9 3 7 1 3 47 Caroline King '21
Allison Gilson '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 6 10 7 7 4 3 8 4 49 Ryan Geib '19 [1-4]
Delaney Bamford '20 [5-8]
Sage Walters '21 [1-4]
Brown University Brown University Bears B 4 6 8 11 9 8 6 2 54 Aryaman Dutta '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Juan Briano '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Juan Briano '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Aryaman Dutta '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 10 13 12 10 7 2 7 7 68 Allison Deluca '21
Jennifer Ryan '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 B 7 9 5 2 12 13 11 10 69 Michael O'Flaherty '21 [1-4]
Kylie Castellano '21 [5-8]
Alyssa Hall '20 [1-4]
Ally Kramer '21 [5-8]
Minutemen Minutemen Minutemen A 9 8 6 12 10 6 9 11 71
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 11 3 13 8 11 11 10 13 80 Maya Stephani '20
William Tagliamonte '21
Brown University Brown University Bears A 13 11 11 5 8 12 13 12 85 Elizabeth Rolfes '21
Justin Chiang '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 12 7 10 13 13 10 12 9 86 Maeve Glancy '21
Rachael Mckeown '21
Minutemen Minutemen Minutemen B 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 112
Terriers Terriers Terriers A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 136
Terriers Terriers Terriers B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 136
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
TerriersTerriers Terriers11111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22222222
MinutemenMinutemen Minutemen55555555
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33333333
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 166666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 277777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 388888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks44444444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
TerriersTerriers Terriers99999999
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1010101010101010
MinutemenMinutemen Minutemen1313131313131313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1111111111111111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 11414141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 21515151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 31616161616161616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1212121212121212

Conditions — 04/28/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1010.7 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From SSW (212°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1010.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →