Women's Weekday Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 32
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 41
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 46
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 81
5 Providence College Providence College Friars 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 A 1 2 1 1 4 9 Ragna Agerup '20
Megha Malpani '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 2 1 2 6 1 12 Sarah Hermus '18
Taylor Borges '22
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 A 4 3 3 2 8 20 Rachel Foster '20
Lauren Haller '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 7 4 4 3 2 20 Kimberly Morecraft '18
Alyssa Hall '20
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 B 3 6 5 4 3 21 Julia Reynolds '22
Elizabeth Rolfes '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 5 5 6 5 5 26 Rebecca Read '21
Cecilia Schneider '20
Providence College Providence College Friars A 6 7 8 8 6 35 Marisa Marino '21
Alexis Meissner '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 B 8 8 7 7 7 37 Grace Gagnon '18
Julia Kim '18
Providence College Providence College Friars B 9 9 DNS DNS DNS 51 Winifred Kennedy '20
Sarah Fogarty '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 55 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 233333
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars77777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 11313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 21717171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 122222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 244444
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars88888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 11414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 21818181818

Conditions — 10/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1025.4 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From SW (228°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover26% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1025.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Brown: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.38)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (78 labelled days at Brown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →