Boston College '20
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 3.17 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 112 | Fall 2019 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.43 (fleet 3.37) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 53–27 (66%) as crew 14–8 (64%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 11–13 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 3 | 14–6 | — |
| Spring 2018 | 2 | 14–7 | — |
| Fall 2017 | 1 | 5–0 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 3 | 9–1 | 14–8 |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 8 graded regattas (99 matches) the record is 64–35 against 65.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-07 | Rudkin Team Race | skipper | 2.81 | 2.95 | 11–13 | 10.4 | +0.14 | 0.1 | 48% |
| 2019-03-30 | Jumbo Team Race | skipper | 2.95 | 2.98 | 5–2 | 5.0 | +0.03 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2019-03-24 | Eagle Team Race | skipper | 3.07 | 1.80 | 7–4 | 9.4 | −1.27 | 2.4 | 99% |
| 2018-03-24 | BC Team Race | skipper | 3.01 | 3.66 | 13–2 | 11.7 | +0.65 | 0.6 | 32% |
| 2018-03-10 | Rudkin Team Race | skipper | 2.99 | 1.65 | 1–5 | 2.4 | −1.33 | 1.2 | 96% |
| 2017-10-14 | Norman Reid Team Race | skipper | 3.12 | 6.12 | 5–0 | 4.0 | ≥+3.00 | 1.5 | 32% |
| 2017-04-08 | New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | crew | 4.04 | 3.62 | 13–8 | 14.7 | −0.43 | 0.5 | 87% |
| 2017-03-26 | BU Team Race | skipper | 2.42 | 3.20 | 9–1 | 8.1 | +0.78 | 0.4 | 41% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Rudkin Team Race | Skipper | TR | 24 | 46% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| NEISA Showcase Qualifier | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.0 | 3.15 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.4 | 3.70 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.9 | 3.73 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 6.8 | 3.39 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | C | 4 | 9.0 | 3.22 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 13.5 | 2.49 |
| Arctic Circle Team Racing Invitational | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Jumbo Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Eagle Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | A | 11 | 2.9 | 4.30 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.8 | 3.74 |
| Norman Reid Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.1 | 3.25 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Championships Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 4.3 | 4.83 |
| Hewitt Trophy Division 1 | Skipper | A | 16 | 6.5 | 3.26 |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.3 | 3.19 |
| LaserPerformance Men's Singlehanded Nationals Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.3 | 4.15 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 3.0 | 4.77 |
| Rudkin Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 7% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.8 | 4.27 |
| BC Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 87% | — |
| The 82nd Annual Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | B | 10 | 7.6 | 3.37 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.6 | 3.07 |
| Norman Reid Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 100% | — |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.0 | 4.75 |
| Laser Performance Men's Singlehanded Nationals Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.6 | 4.57 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 7 | 6.6 | 3.43 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | C | 3 | 8.0 | 3.68 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | Crew | TR | 23 | 61% | — |
| LaserPerformance Team Race National Championship | Crew | TR | 25 | 68% | — |
| Central Series 2 | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.0 | 2.92 |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.0 | 2.60 |
| BU Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 90% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Crew | B | 7 | 3.1 | — |
| NEISA Men Singles Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.7 | 4.25 |
| LaserPerformance Men's Singlehanded Nationals Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.8 | 4.42 |
| Central Series 1 | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.2 | 3.17 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Scott Rasmussen |  Bishop Verot High School |
'16 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
