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The 82nd Annual Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 51 67 40 158
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 57 52 61 170
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 46 65 62 173
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 69 73 42 184
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 50 76 65 191
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 76 59 65 200
7 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 79 67 70 216
8 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 49 54 113 216
9 Boston College Boston College Eagles 99 76 60 235
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 103 81 68 252
11 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 81 90 82 253
12 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 78 108 83 269
13 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 109 78 124 311
14 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 103 105 113 321
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 2 13 4 1 12 7 2 3 1 46 Ty Ingram '18 [1-6]
Trevor Long '19 [7-10]
Sameena Shaffeeullah '19 [1-4]
Marcus Abate '20 [5-6]
Julia Cho '20 [7-10]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 8 10 2 3 1 9 3 2 4 49 Malcolm Lamphere '18
Kira Woods '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 10 5 5 11 3 1 5 5 3 50 Patrick Shanahan '19
Julia Reynolds '22
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 12 3 6 2 6 11 4 1 2 51 Ravi Parent '18
Grace Mooradian '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 3 4 7 5 10 4 1 6 14 57 Matthew Kaplan '19
Marie Bergsund '20
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 12 1 6 8 13 7 5 7 4 6 69 Jack Mcgraw '20
Alyssa Berger '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 5 2 3 10 2 14 9 9 11 76 Alp Rodopman '17
Sarah Bunney '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 7 8 1 14 4 8 10 13 5 78 Preston Duclos '19
Rachel Holick '22
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 6 1 12 12 9 13 6 7 8 79 Henry Burnes '22
Catherine Tang '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 4 12 9 6 5 6 11 10 12 81 Jackson Hamilton '19
Jacqueline Berlin '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 14 9 14 14 8 13 2 8 8 9 99 Peter Lynn '19
Caroline Downey '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 14 7 13 7 11 12 12 11 7 103 Dakota Northrup '19
Caroline Rocchio '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 13 13 9 11 9 8 3 13 14 10 103 Ian Willoughby '21
Tatiana Chinitz '19
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 11 11 10 4 14 10 14 12 13 109 Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-4]
Keen Butcher '18 [5-10]
Kristen Tilley '19 [1-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 5 7 3 3 10 6 4 11 1 52 William Hawk '18
Emily Gonzalez '20
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 10 2 2 5 3 3 7 3 11 54 Christine Klingler '20 [1-10]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Becca Rose '22 [5-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 11 5 1 10 1 10 1 4 4 59 Cameron Holley '19
Ian Morgan '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4 7 6 6 13 5 12 3 7 2 65 Cutter O'Connell '18
Fiona Mckellar '20
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 12 8 8 1 2 4 6 9 10 67 Eli Burnes '22
Kevin Coakley '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 4 9 4 DNF 4 2 8 5 6 67 Robby Gearon '19
Lexi Pline '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 2 10 7 12 8 7 9 1 12 73 Max Clapp '21
James Bonham '20
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 8 13 10 4 11 13 2 6 8 76 Scott Rasmussen '20
Megan Bamford '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 14 14 1 12 6 12 1 5 8 3 76 Sam Alexander '18
Emily Ito '19
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 9 3 4 13 2 13 8 10 2 14 78 Joseph Laforgia '21
Lucy Sergeant '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 6 12 5 8 6 11 12 10 5 81 Luke Ingalls '21
Caitlin Abel '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 1 3 9 9 9 9 13 13 13 90 Kyle Riggs '21
Jon Ewing '21
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 9 14 14 7 7 14 14 14 9 105 Daniel Vail '21
Camryn Kennedy '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 13 11 11 11 14 5 11 12 7 108 Spencer Cartwright '22
Emily Gildea '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 2 4 1 6 7 7 8 1 1 40 Josh Dochoda '20
Hannah Davis '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 3 7 10 1 6 2 2 2 8 42 Timothy Greenhouse '21
Joshua Cherner '21
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 6 5 6 5 8 11 12 3 2 60 Drake Lyon '18
Elizabeth Russell '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 4 2 2 8 4 6 14 8 7 61 Matt Safford '20
Hannah Konkel '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 9 1 3 10 1 3 13 5 9 62 Stephen Duncan '20
Lynn Liu '20
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 1 9 8 4 12 5 5 7 10 65 Franco Bilik '18
Megha Malpani '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 7 11 4 2 3 8 3 4 11 65 Christopher Keller '19
Michelle Chisdak '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 5 13 7 3 2 9 4 11 5 68 Brendan Read '19
Lauren Richards '19
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 12 6 5 12 13 1 1 9 6 70 Nick Digiovanni '19
Zennie Wey '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 10 3 9 7 5 13 11 10 3 82 Kurran Singh '19
John Hughes '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 14 8 10 12 9 10 4 6 6 4 83 Dane Pedersen '19
Kylie Freitas '20
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 13 8 13 11 11 14 10 14 12 113 Martin Tipton '21 [1-10]
Mina Cezairli '21 [1-8]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [9-10]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 13 11 12 11 14 9 10 7 13 13 113 Connor Ratcliff '21
Virginia Kilbourne '20
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 BKD 14 14 13 14 12 9 12 14 124 Tanner Probst '21
Jenna Weiner '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2211141413132222
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3344556677
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears443322111414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green5566778899
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons6655443322
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77889910101111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8877665544
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991010111122221313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers2222111110109988
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131414112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks101099887766
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111122221313141411
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs14141313222211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2211141413132222
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3344556677
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears443322111414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green5566778899
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons6655443322
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77889910101111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8877665544
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991010111122221313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers2222111110109988
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131414112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks101099887766
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111122221313141411
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs14141313222211111010

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1122334455
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2211141413132222
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3344556677
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears443322111414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green5566778899
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons6655443322
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77889910101111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8877665544
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991010111122221313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers2222111110109988
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131414112233
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks101099887766
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111122221313141411
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs14141313222211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Peter Lynn '19 Caroline Downey '19
Eagles Scott Rasmussen '20 Megan Bamford '18
Drake Lyon '18 Elizabeth Russell '21
Boston University Boston University Ravi Parent '18 Grace Mooradian '21
Terriers Robby Gearon '19 Lexi Pline '19
Josh Dochoda '20 Hannah Davis '19
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Matthew Kaplan '19 Marie Bergsund '20
Polar Bears William Hawk '18 Emily Gonzalez '20
Matt Safford '20 Hannah Konkel '20
Brown University Brown University Patrick Shanahan '19 Julia Reynolds '22
Bears Sam Alexander '18 Emily Ito '19
Franco Bilik '18 Megha Malpani '19
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Jack Mcgraw '20 Alyssa Berger '19
Big Green Max Clapp '21 James Bonham '20
Timothy Greenhouse '21 Joshua Cherner '21
Eckerd College Eckerd College Ian Willoughby '21 Tatiana Chinitz '19
Tritons Daniel Vail '21 Camryn Kennedy '21
Connor Ratcliff '21 Virginia Kilbourne '20
Harvard University Harvard University Henry Burnes '22 Catherine Tang '19
Crimson Eli Burnes '22 Kevin Coakley '18
Nick Digiovanni '19 Zennie Wey '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Ty Ingram '18 [1-6]
Trevor Long '19 [7-10]		 Sameena Shaffeeullah '19 [1-4]
Marcus Abate '20 [5-6]
Julia Cho '20 [7-10]
Engineers Cutter O'Connell '18 Fiona Mckellar '20
Stephen Duncan '20 Lynn Liu '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Huskies Kyle Riggs '21 Jon Ewing '21
Kurran Singh '19 John Hughes '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Preston Duclos '19 Rachel Holick '22
Hawks Spencer Cartwright '22 Emily Gildea '21
Dane Pedersen '19 Kylie Freitas '20
Tufts University Tufts University Alp Rodopman '17 Sarah Bunney '19
Jumbos Cameron Holley '19 Ian Morgan '19
Christopher Keller '19 Michelle Chisdak '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-4]
Keen Butcher '18 [5-10]		 Kristen Tilley '19 [1-4]
Quakers Joseph Laforgia '21 Lucy Sergeant '18
Tanner Probst '21 Jenna Weiner '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Dakota Northrup '19 Caroline Rocchio '20
Rams Luke Ingalls '21 Caitlin Abel '21
Brendan Read '19 Lauren Richards '19
Yale University Yale University Malcolm Lamphere '18 Kira Woods '19
Bulldogs Christine Klingler '20 [1-10] Catherine Mollerus '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Becca Rose '22 [5-8]
Martin Tipton '21 [1-10] Mina Cezairli '21 [1-8]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [9-10]

Conditions — 04/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 39%  ·  Pressure 1024.1 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From NW (312°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity39% Pressure1024.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · NW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.18 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.25
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →