Navigate

Penobscot Bay Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 32 39 71
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 47 27 74
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 59 32 91
4 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 59 54 113
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 52 67 119
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 66 64 130
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 89 61 150
8 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 78 78 156
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 69 88 157
10 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 82 107 189
11 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 102 110 212
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 7 3 6 1 5 1 2 2 3 1 32 Scott Rasmussen '20
Emma Perry '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 2 9 1 11 3 4 3 1 2 3 47 Jackson Mccoy '19
Emma Clutterbuck '20
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 1 1 OCS 4 11 5 5 4 1 4 52 Michael O'Flaherty '21
Caroline Rocchio '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 3 8 3 9 2 8 6 6 7 5 59 Thomas Whittemore '23 [1-11]
Erin Smith '19 [1-10]
Simon Moreira '22 [11]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 6 5 7 3 6 2 4 7 4 10 59 Javier De Urdanibia Panos '21 [1-8]
Kyle Dochoda '21 [9-11]
Shannon Macdonald '21 [1-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 4 2 OCS 6 1 9 1 8 6 8 66 Cameron Nash '21
Gabrielle Myers '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers OCS 10 7 4 2 9 3 7 3 5 7 69 Alexander Bowen '20 [1-11]
Sydney Clays '21 [1-2, 5-11]
Thomas Dunn '21 [3-4]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 7 9 4 2 8 7 6 9 11 9 6 78 Dylan Whitcraft '19
Claire Deplanck '20
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners OCS 5 6 5 5 4 7 10 9 10 9 82 Mott Blair '22
Owen White '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 11 11 8 10 8 OCS 8 5 11 2 89 Perham Black '22
Gigi Diserio '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 8 10 9 7 10 OCS 11 10 8 11 102 Ben Palmer '22
Julianne Mozzer '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 2 1 4 1 1 3 2 5 1 27 Jack Bitney '19 [1-11]
Ashley Smith '19 [1-10]
Emma Clutterbuck '20 [11]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 2 3 3 3 6 3 2 4 1 4 32 Casey Cabot '21
Erica Brown '21
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 1 1 2 7 8 2 1 1 4 7 39 Thomas Walden '20
Caroline Downey '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 3 6 5 1 4 5 5 6 8 8 54 Cj Mckenna '23 [1-11]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-10]
Simon Moreira '22 [11]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 7 7 4 6 2 7 10 3 2 6 61 Teagan Cunningham '22
Caitlin Tardio '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 6 5 7 2 7 8 8 8 6 3 64 Vincent Yannelli '19
Isabella Arnaboldi '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 4 10 11 9 5 4 6 7 3 2 67 Aidan Naughton '22
Lauren Richards '19
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 9 8 8 8 5 3 6 4 5 OCS 10 78 Peter Galloway '21
Genevieve Dickinson '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 9 4 6 8 9 10 9 9 7 9 88 Christos Karplus '21
Megan Laurie '20
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 10 10 9 9 11 11 9 7 11 9 11 107 Corinne Poitras '20
Tristan Walker '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 11 11 10 10 10 11 11 10 10 5 110 Carter Brock '22
Emerson Campbell '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355779911
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2244668810101
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3355779911112
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010113
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5577991111224
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners6688101011335
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers7799111122446
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies8810101133557
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1010113355779
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos9911112244668
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts11112244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668810101
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3355779911112
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4466881010113
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears5577991111224
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6688101011335
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners7799111122446
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers8810101133557
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911112244668
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams11112244668810
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010113355779
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts113355779911

Conditions — 09/08/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From NNW (342°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.18
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.27 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Maine Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →