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BU Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 40 14 54
2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 44 18 62
3 Boston College Boston College Eagles 28 36 64
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 33 33 66
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 46 32 78
6 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 44 39 83
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 40 45 85
8 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 35 55 90
9 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 43 51 94
10 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 35 60 95
11 Boston University Boston University Terriers 44 54 98
12 Brown University Brown University Bears 61 37 98
13 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 53 63 116
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 8 1 2 12 2 28 Drake Lyon '18
Caroline Downey '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 13 3 5 5 6 33 Colin Richards '20
Amanda Engeman '20
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 3 4 10 1 11 35 Julia Lambert '18
Elena Vandenberg '18
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 13 1 8 4 8 1 35 Lucy Wilmot '20
Alejandra Resendiz '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 11 2 7 13 3 40 Sam Shannon '19
Stephanie Clancy '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 2 5 11 9 4 40 Alp Rodopman '17
Kelsey Foster '20
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 11 6 6 9 2 9 43 Peter Sterflinger '17
Caoilinn Boyle '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 5 13 6 7 8 44 Alex Moreno '19
Emily Walker '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 7 12 7 1 4 13 44 Annie Hughes '19
Tiffany Xi '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 4 9 8 3 12 44 Christopher Pearson '20
Caroline Rocchio '20
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 12 10 10 3 6 5 46 Mary Paz '17
Nora Cullen '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 7 11 12 11 10 53 Liam Ballantyne '19
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 10 9 12 13 10 7 61 Sophie Hibben '19
Davis Tantillo '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 RDG 5 3 2 1 14 Julien Guiot '18
Sam Gates '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 2 1 1 7 2 18 Greta Farrell '18
Sarah Caso '19
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 7 2 6 3 6 32 Catherine Price '18
Emily Gonzalez '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 1 7 8 4 11 33 Benjamin Craig '17
Emma Janson '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 9 3 7 1 13 36 Scott Rasmussen '20
Megan Bamford '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 4 4 4 9 3 37 Zachary Jordan '21
Julia Kim '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 5 11 2 10 4 39 Matthew Schryver '20
Sarah Morin '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 9 3 8 9 11 5 45 Jennifer Killian '19
Madeline Lark '20
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 12 6 6 5 13 9 51 Thomas Pluchino '18
Hans Bengston '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 8 12 10 8 12 54 John Wetzel '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Skye Shepherd '20 [3-4]
Skye Shepherd '20 [1-2, 5-6]
John Wetzel '20 [3-4]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 12 9 11 5 8 55 Catherine Kerner '20
Catherine Tang '19
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 10 13 12 12 7 60 Nestor Cano Sostre '20
Mary Vangelos '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 13 10 13 6 10 63 Caelan Juckniess '20
Erin Morgan '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1111131322
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson557799
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats66881010
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers77991111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams12121133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8810101212
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal9911111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010121211
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts13132244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335577
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears557799
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears12121133
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66881010
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats77991111
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8810101212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13132244
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks9911111313
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1010121211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111131322
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts113355

Conditions — 04/01/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌨️Heavy snow
Humidity 93%  ·  Pressure 1010.8 hPa

Temperature

34°F
↑ 35°F   ↓ 34°F
Feels like 24°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.0 kn
avg  ·  max 15.2 kn
Gusts to 28.0 kn
From NNE (25°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1010.8 hPa Rain0.16 in Snow5.57 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.56 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →