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Norman Reid Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 60 60 120
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 73 55 128
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 37 100 137
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 76 71 147
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 100 55 155
6 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 79 79 158
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 99 107 206
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 86 122 208
9 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 136 72 208
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 130 82 212
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 87 136 223
12 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 99 127 226
13 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 115 143 258
14 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 115 153 268
15 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 175 121 296
16 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 184 181 365
17 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 206 MRP 196 MRP 402 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 1 2 6 7 1 2 3 1 2 5 1 6 37 Ian Moran '22 [1-10]
Dane Pedersen '19 [11-12]
Brendan Little '22 [1-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 1 7 3 4 10 2 2 4 10 7 7 60 Brendan Read '19
Lauren Richards '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 4 3 9 4 6 3 9 10 8 6 6 5 73 Scott Rasmussen '20
Eliza Wright '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 8 6 5 1 13 9 10 5 5 7 5 2 76 Bram Brakman '21
Maria Brush '21
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 4 15 12 11 1 6 4 3 2 10 1 79 Andrew Puopolo '19 [1-12]
Iulianna Taritsa '20 [1-10]
Zennie Wey '20 [11-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 9 3 13 12 6 11 3 7 11 2 4 86 Perham Black '22
Julia Adams '21
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 7 1 2 2 7 15 12 13 15 3 8 87 Joey Lark '21
Peter Cronin '22
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 8 2 6 8 4 13 7 10 9 12 14 99 Cameron Nash '21
Gabrielle Myers '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 14 13 4 14 9 8 7 6 6 3 4 11 99 Tyler Mowry '22 [1-10]
Grant Gridley '22 [11-12]
Darcy Lavoie '21 [1-10]
Gabriel Dibiase-Demoreta '22 [11-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 5 13 8 5 15 5 14 1 1 13 13 100 Richie Gordon '21
Madeline Kaller '21
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 11 11 10 17 7 12 8 8 12 8 8 3 115 Nicholas Memoli '20
Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 15 10 12 16 14 5 1 9 9 4 11 9 115 Alex Fasolo '22
Hailey Mckelvie '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 14 8 5 10 11 4 13 11 16 14 12 130 Chris Colbeth '20
Alexandra Nygren '20
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 9 12 14 11 3 14 14 11 17 12 9 10 136 Cameron Mcmanus '21
Elizabeth Matheson '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13 15 16 15 15 13 12 17 14 13 15 17 175 Stephen Poirier '22
Maya Stephani '20
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 16 16 17 10 16 16 16 15 15 14 17 16 184 Andrew Reynolds '19
Victoria Kyle '20
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 17 RAF 11 9 17 17 17 16 16 17 16 15 206 MRP Jack Eberhardt '21 [1-6]
Benjamin Xu '22 [7-12]
David Shlimak '22 [1-6]
Justin Stott '20 [7-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 3 2 10 17 2 4 3 1 3 5 4 1 55 Robert Hunter '22 [1-12]
Laura Ferraris '22 [1-4, 10-11]
Nicole Moeder '22 [5-9, 12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 6 6 2 1 10 11 3 2 1 1 7 55 Gage Schoenherr '21
Mary Tran '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 7 4 10 8 2 5 4 5 3 2 3 60 Luke Ingalls '21 [1-12]
Edward Gary '22 [1-4]
Caitlin Abel '21 [5-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 11 5 1 3 5 1 7 11 4 7 7 9 71 Wells Drayton '21
Marisa Permatteo '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 4 4 11 1 7 3 DSQ 2 7 4 6 5 72 Jack Denatale '22 [1-12]
Caroline Rochford '19 [1-4, 10-11]
Zoe Ting '22 [5-9, 12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 11 14 4 3 8 4 8 13 2 5 6 79 Lucy Wilmot '20
Emma Jakobson '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 3 7 6 4 11 1 9 1 11 9 12 82 Santiago Hirschmann '23
Romain Astie '20
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 2 8 5 7 6 17 2 10 12 10 11 10 100 John Walton '22 [1-9]
Jackson Connell '22 [10-12]
Alden Crowe '19 [1-9]
Jaqueline Frode '22 [10-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 9 1 8 16 11 6 13 6 RAF 14 3 2 107 Cameron Wood '22 [1-9]
Riley Read '22 [10-12]
Riley Read '22 [1-9]
Darcy Lavoie '21 [10-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13 10 2 8 13 5 15 15 10 9 8 13 121 Braden Foster '19 [1-9]
Alexander Bowen '20 [10-12]
Kaylee Mutch '22 [1-9]
Rachael Mckeown '21 [10-12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 14 3 11 15 12 6 7 11 12 10 15 122 Emmett Ulian '19 [1-9]
Preston Anderson '22 [10-12]
Emily Davis '21 [1-9]
Kevin Elk '20 [10-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 12 16 5 10 15 16 5 14 8 12 4 127 Colin Richards '20 [1-9]
Peter Schneider '20 [10-12]
Nellie Stidham '21 [1-9]
Chloe Becker '22 [10-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 16 9 13 9 13 9 13 6 13 15 8 136 Allison Deluca '21 [1-4]
Anthony Root '22 [5-12]
Mary Persico '21 [1-4]
Zachary Steuer '21 [5-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 17 9 12 9 16 9 10 12 9 15 14 11 143 Colin Ray '22 [1-9]
Ryutaro Sochi '22 [10-12]
Kristina Puzak '22 [1-9]
Mallory Hood '22 [10-12]
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 14 13 15 12 12 7 8 16 8 16 16 16 153 Brian Kiley '20 [1-12]
Marissa Walsh '21 [1-8]
Kailey Sullivan '21 [9-12]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 15 15 13 14 14 16 12 14 15 17 RAF DNS 181 John Holt '22 [1-9]
Jesus Esgueva '21 [10-11]
Nick Ferrara '22 [12]
Nick Ferrara '22 [1-11]
Jesus Esgueva '21 [12]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 16 17 17 15 17 14 14 17 16 6 13 14 196 MRP Alex Cooper '20
Christian Lynch '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons111111111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 1222222222222
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 2333333333333
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears444444444444
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141414141414141414141414
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson555555555555
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen151515151515151515151515
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers777777777777
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies888888888888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161616161616161616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1999999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2101010101010101010101010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111111111111111111111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1121212121212121212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2131313131313131313131313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171717171717171717171717
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1818181818181818181866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons111111111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 1222222222222
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 2333333333333
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears444444444444
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141414141414141414141414
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson555555555555
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen151515151515151515151515
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers777777777777
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies888888888888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161616161616161616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1999999999999
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2101010101010101010101010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks111111111111111111111111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1121212121212121212121212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2131313131313131313131313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts171717171717171717171717
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards666666666181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bentley University Bentley University Nicholas Memoli '20 Alyson Schwerdtfeger '19
Falcons Brian Kiley '20 [1-12] Marissa Walsh '21 [1-8]
Kailey Sullivan '21 [9-12]
Boston College Boston College Scott Rasmussen '20 Eliza Wright '20
Eagles 1 Robert Hunter '22 [1-12] Laura Ferraris '22 [1-4, 10-11]
Nicole Moeder '22 [5-9, 12]
Boston College Boston College Cameron Mcmanus '21 Elizabeth Matheson '20
Eagles 2 Jack Denatale '22 [1-12] Caroline Rochford '19 [1-4, 10-11]
Zoe Ting '22 [5-9, 12]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Perham Black '22 Julia Adams '21
Polar Bears Emmett Ulian '19 [1-9]
Preston Anderson '22 [10-12]		 Emily Davis '21 [1-9]
Kevin Elk '20 [10-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Andrew Puopolo '19 [1-12] Iulianna Taritsa '20 [1-10]
Zennie Wey '20 [11-12]
Crimson Lucy Wilmot '20 Emma Jakobson '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Stephen Poirier '22 Maya Stephani '20
Buccaneers Braden Foster '19 [1-9]
Alexander Bowen '20 [10-12]		 Kaylee Mutch '22 [1-9]
Rachael Mckeown '21 [10-12]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Chris Colbeth '20 Alexandra Nygren '20
Huskies Santiago Hirschmann '23 Romain Astie '20
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Ian Moran '22 [1-10]
Dane Pedersen '19 [11-12]		 Brendan Little '22 [1-10]
Hawks 1 John Walton '22 [1-9]
Jackson Connell '22 [10-12]		 Alden Crowe '19 [1-9]
Jaqueline Frode '22 [10-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Tyler Mowry '22 [1-10]
Grant Gridley '22 [11-12]		 Darcy Lavoie '21 [1-10]
Gabriel Dibiase-Demoreta '22 [11-12]
Hawks 2 Cameron Wood '22 [1-9]
Riley Read '22 [10-12]		 Riley Read '22 [1-9]
Darcy Lavoie '21 [10-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Joey Lark '21 Peter Cronin '22
Seahawks Allison Deluca '21 [1-4]
Anthony Root '22 [5-12]		 Mary Persico '21 [1-4]
Zachary Steuer '21 [5-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Bram Brakman '21 Maria Brush '21
Jumbos 1 Wells Drayton '21 Marisa Permatteo '19
Tufts University Tufts University Alex Fasolo '22 Hailey Mckelvie '22
Jumbos 2 Colin Ray '22 [1-9]
Ryutaro Sochi '22 [10-12]		 Kristina Puzak '22 [1-9]
Mallory Hood '22 [10-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Richie Gordon '21 Madeline Kaller '21
Bears Gage Schoenherr '21 Mary Tran '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Jack Eberhardt '21 [1-6]
Benjamin Xu '22 [7-12]		 David Shlimak '22 [1-6]
Justin Stott '20 [7-12]
Minutemen Alex Cooper '20 Christian Lynch '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Brendan Read '19 Lauren Richards '19
Rams Luke Ingalls '21 [1-12] Edward Gary '22 [1-4]
Caitlin Abel '21 [5-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Cameron Nash '21 Gabrielle Myers '21
Catamounts Colin Richards '20 [1-9]
Peter Schneider '20 [10-12]		 Nellie Stidham '21 [1-9]
Chloe Becker '22 [10-12]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Andrew Reynolds '19 Victoria Kyle '20
Leopards John Holt '22 [1-9]
Jesus Esgueva '21 [10-11]
Nick Ferrara '22 [12]		 Nick Ferrara '22 [1-11]
Jesus Esgueva '21 [12]

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From NNW (330°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston College: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.52 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →