New England Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 7 18
2 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 13 13 26
3 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 24 20 44
4 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 31 23 54
5 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 26 31 57
6 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 22 48 70
7 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 41 32 73
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 2 4 1 1 1 11 Stephen Poirier '22
Jillian Harrington '23
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 4 1 2 3 2 13 Jack Valentino '22
Greta Shuster '25
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 7 3 2 4 2 4 22 Dane Phippen '23
Jordan Morris '23
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 1 6 6 4 3 24 Anne Berg '25
Katelyn Howe '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 3 6 3 3 6 5 26 Timothy Burns '22
Dylan Dincer '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 5 5 5 5 5 6 31 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Grace Hering '22
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 6 7 7 7 7 7 41 Victor Lomba '25
Dominic Ioime '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Tyler Egeli '24
Jewelnguyen Huynh '23
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 2 1 2 3 2 13 Ted Lutton '24
Maggie Forger '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 3 4 5 2 4 20 James Sullivan '25
Martin Keene '23
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 5 3 4 4 3 23 Grace Augspurger '25 [1-2]
William Procter '24 [3-6]
Maya Saterson '22 [1-2]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 5 4 6 6 5 5 31 Kate Myler '23
Andy Giaya '24
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 6 6 5 3 6 6 32 Ryan Cloherty '22 [1-2]
Jack Eddy '21 [3-6]
Owen Bailey '25 [1-4]
Dominic Ioime '23 [5-6]
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 48 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats112233
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons223344
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen556677
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers334455
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers445566
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats667711
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards771122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats445566
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons556677
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen112233
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers667711
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers771122
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats223344
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards334455

Conditions — 10/30/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 100%  ·  Pressure 1010.2 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From E (81°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity100% Pressure1010.2 hPa Rain0.46 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn · SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.49 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →