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Callagy Ross Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 80
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 147
3 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 183
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 211
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 218 MRP
6 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 275
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 291
8 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 334
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 362 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 B 2 3 8 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 33 Thomas Harden '20
Amanda Engeman '20
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 5 6 1 1 6 1 8 1 2 1 4 36 Perham Black '22
Sophia Schaefer '22
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 A 1 4 5 3 3 2 10 2 1 4 12 47 Colin Richards '20
Isabella Arnaboldi '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 4 1 3 7 12 12 14 6 6 9 8 82 Alex Fasolo '22
Jacob Whitney '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 A 3 8 10 4 11 8 9 5 8 10 7 83 Mott Blair '22
Cole Cleveland '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 B 10 11 6 9 8 7 6 9 12 8 3 89 Ben Crosby '20
Hunter Jensen '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 A 7 9 13 13 1 6 3 11 9 13 9 94 Aidan Scanlon '21
Ryan Soucy '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 8 10 11 12 4 15 4 8 10 6 6 94 Christos Karplus '21
Sydney Clays '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 9 12 9 8 9 11 5 7 4 2 1 97 MRP Adrian Van Der Wal '22
Sarah Pierce '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 12 14 4 10 5 10 12 13 14 7 10 111 Emmett Ulian '19 [1-11]
Kevin Elk '20 [1-5]
Elijah Berger '21 [6-11]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 14 5 12 6 14 4 15 10 11 12 14 117 Stephen Poirier '22
Megan Laurie '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 13 7 2 16 10 5 7 12 7 11 11 121 MRP Sumner Strumph '22
Julianne Mozzer '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 A 15 17 14 11 7 13 11 14 15 14 13 144 Olivia Mitchell '22
Tristan Walker '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 11 13 15 15 13 16 13 15 17 15 16 179 MRP Anna Spiro '21
Allie White '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 16 15 17 14 15 9 17 16 13 16 15 183 MRP Hanna Mass '21
Mollie Ockene '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 B 17 16 DNF 18 17 17 16 17 18 17 18 190 Jack Frazier '21
Jay Trentham '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 B 18 18 16 17 18 18 18 18 16 18 17 192 Owen White '22
Nerissa Larrabee '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 209 Austen Freda '21
Duke Saunders '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11223344556
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 1221118181717161615
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 233445566778
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers44332211181817
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers556677889910
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies66554433221
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7788991010111112
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 188776655443
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 299101011111212131314

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1010998877665
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 11111121213131414151516
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 212121111101099887
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1313141415151616171718
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers141413131212111110109
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1515161617171818112
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616151514141313121211
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 1171718181122334
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21818171716161515141413

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1009.8 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From W (269°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1009.8 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · SW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Vermont: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.30 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →