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PRIDDY - Freshman Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 11
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 18 18
3 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 23 23
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 26 26
5 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 29 29
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 39 39
7 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 42 42
8 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 51 51
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 52 52
10 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 55 55
11 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 60 60
12 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 62 62
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 1 3 2 1 3 11 Parker Colantuono '22
Kevin Stamp '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 5 2 1 5 2 18 Ryutaro Sochi '22
Mallory Hood '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 2 3 6 4 2 6 23 Timothy Burns '22
Thomas Laskarzewski '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 6 1 5 3 5 26 Stephen Poirier '22
Teagan Duffy '22
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 4 2 8 3 4 8 29 Ellen Fuller '22
Grace Perry '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 9 7 6 6 1 39 Lauren Miller '22
Katelyn Howe '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 11 4 4 11 8 4 42 Colin Snow '22 [1-4]
Thomas Jagielski '22 [5-6]
Thomas Jagielski '22 [1-4]
Colin Snow '22 [5-6]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 7 8 10 8 11 7 51 Aleix Monmany Balaguer '23
Chloe King '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 1 5 10 9 9 10 9 52 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Ding Pang '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 8 7 11 10 9 10 55 Lucie Rochat '22
Patrick Stevenson '23
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 9 11 5 12 12 11 60 Benjamin Xu '22
Amanda Schaeffer '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 12 12 12 7 7 12 62 Lauren Gasek '22
Kevin Parsons '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies171716161515
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags101011111212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1181819192020
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2191918181717
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers111110102121
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 1121213131414
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers 2131312121111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats202021211010
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix141415151616
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams212120201919
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers151514141313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161617171818

Conditions — 04/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From SSW (211°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1017.5 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Fairfield: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Fairfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →