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Callagy Ross Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 103
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 108
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 135
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 199
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 219
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 227
7 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 231
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 274
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles A 2 7 2 2 1 1 3 2 3 4 2 29 Colin Brego '20
Isabella Eckler '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 A 6 3 4 3 4 2 4 1 4 5 4 40 Alexander Bowen '20
Sydney Clays '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 4 4 3 1 5 6 5 5 2 2 8 45 Adrian Van Der Wal '22
Wyatt Fogg '23
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 5 6 1 4 7 8 2 3 1 8 13 58 Caleb Niles '22
Julia Boll '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 A 10 9 5 12 3 4 6 10 8 9 1 77 Joshua Stone '20
Kiley Roach '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners A 11 1 11 5 6 3 16 6 5 6 7 77 Mott Blair '22
Owen White '22
Boston College Boston College Eagles B 3 2 8 7 2 11 9 7 9 12 9 79 Graham Ness '23
Ginny Alex '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 A 7 8 10 9 8 9 1 16 12 3 5 88 Stephen Poirier '22
Megan Laurie '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 A 12 11 6 8 10 12 8 4 7 7 6 91 Alexander Runci '23
Lilia Hutchins '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 B 8 15 12 10 12 10 7 11 6 1 3 95 Christos Karplus '21
Sydney Kiedeisch '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 9 10 7 6 9 5 15 13 13 14 11 112 Hanna Mass '21
Grace Hering '22
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 B 1 5 15 15 13 13 11 14 10 15 10 122 Elliott Gear '21
Hunter Jensen '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 B 13 13 9 11 11 7 14 9 16 11 14 128 George Moore '23 [1-10]
Luke Quine '23 [11]
Alexander Nagle '23 [1-10]
Mary Muller '22 [11]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 B 16 12 13 13 14 16 10 8 11 10 16 139 Auguste Pizzano '21
Kaylee Mutch '22
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners B 14 14 14 14 16 14 13 15 15 13 12 154 Olivia Mitchell '22
David Estes '22
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 15 16 16 16 15 15 12 12 14 16 15 162 Abigail Wright '22
Evelyn Lane '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles33445566778
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners443318181717161615
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1556677889910
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 266554433181817
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7788991010111112
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88776655443
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 199101011111212131314
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21010998877665

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1111121213131414151516
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners12121111101099887
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11313141415151616171718
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2141413131212111110109
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1515161617171818334
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1616151514141313121211
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 1171718183344556
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21818171716161515141413

Conditions — 10/12/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 11.3 kn
From SSW (196°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1013.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn · S 4 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Vermont: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →