New England Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 11 20
2 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 24 21 45
3 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 20 28 48
4 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 32 23 55
5 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 42 46 88
6 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 61 41 102
7 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 51 61 112
8 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 59 67 126
9 Williams College Williams College Ephs 78 80 158
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 9 Alexander Bowen '20
Sydney Clays '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 3 2 4 2 3 2 3 1 20 Alexander Baskin '19
Casey Astiz '19
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 3 2 3 2 3 5 4 24 Mott Blair '22
Owen White '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 4 4 6 5 4 4 2 3 32 Thomas Jagielski '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Colin Snow '22 [3-4]
Colin Snow '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Thomas Jagielski '22 [3-4]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 6 3 4 5 7 6 6 42 Lauren Miller '22 [1-8]
Clayton Greig '22 [1-2]
Katelyn Howe '22 [3-8]
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 8 8 5 7 6 8 4 5 51 Kate Azar '21 [1-8]
Olivia Laroche '22 [1-2]
Sophie Wilson '22 [3-8]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 6 7 8 6 7 5 DNF DNS 59 Isabel Rombult '19
Page Veaze '20
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 5 7 8 8 6 DNS DNS 61 Heather Lewis '20 [1-8]
William Gasparrini '22 [1-2]
Aimee Merkle-Scotland '19 [3-8]
Williams College Williams College Ephs 9 9 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 Ariane Grossmann '22
Patrick Hodgson '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 11 Stephen Poirier '22
Megan Laurie '20
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 4 2 3 1 2 3 3 3 21 Thomas Dugan '20
August Campbell '22
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 2 3 2 2 7 1 2 4 23 Alexander Miller '22
Andrew Schnurr '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 3 4 4 4 3 4 4 2 28 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Grace Hering '22
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 41 Colby Brennan '20
Maxwell Miller '21
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 5 6 6 4 6 6 6 46 Olivia Dube '20
Emily Zaleski '22
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 6 7 7 7 6 8 DNS DNS 61 Gretchen Willmuth '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Corinne Wilklow '21 [3-4]
Corinne Wilklow '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Gretchen Willmuth '22 [3-4]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 8 8 8 8 8 7 DNS DNS 67 Abbey Rogers '21
Anna Nelson '21
Williams College Williams College Ephs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 80 Jesse Cohen '21
Priscilla Mercado '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies6688101022
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners11336688
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers22557799
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers3366881010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats8810102255
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix55779911
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs77991133
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue99113366
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1010225577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies77991133
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners22557799
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers3366881010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55779911
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats99113366
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix6688101022
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs8810102255
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue1010225577
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs11336688

Conditions — 04/06/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1020.1 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From WSW (245°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1020.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn* · SW 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.56 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →