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Callagy Ross Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 19
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 24
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 30
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 38
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 48
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 48
8 Mariners Mariners Mariners 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 1 2 3 Julien Guiot '18
Jacob Whitney '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 2 1 3 Matt Safford '20
Marie Bergsund '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 3 5 8 Anna Weis '20
Megan Blagden '20
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 4 4 8 Alexander Vasiliou '18
Jake Griffin '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 6 6 12 Charles Hicks '20
Rowan Henke '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 5 9 14 Zachary Bresnick '21
Katherine Alfond '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 8 8 16 Aaron Klein '18
Marisa Permatteo '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 9 7 16 Javier De Urdanibia Panos '21
Katherine Bertolini '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 7 11 18 Alexander Bowen '20
Sydney Clays '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 15 3 18 Vincent Yannelli '19
Isabella Arnaboldi '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 11 10 21 Alexander Baskin '19
Ben Brown '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 12 12 24 Ben Palmer '22
Jon Ewing '21
Mariners Mariners Mariners B 10 16 26
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 14 13 27 Ben Arquit '20
Rebecca Freeman '18
Mariners Mariners Mariners A 13 15 28
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 16 14 30 Braden Foster '19
Megan Laurie '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22
MarinersMariners Mariners33
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers44
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies66
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos77
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts88

Division B

Team1B2B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers99
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1010
MarinersMariners Mariners1111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1616

Conditions — 09/16/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.2 kn
avg  ·  max 3.9 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1021.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 4 kn · SW 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Vermont: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.50 ± 0.42)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →