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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 14 28
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 32 9 41
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 18 37 55
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 23 37 60
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 30 35 65
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 36 34 70
7 Boston University Boston University Rah BUDS! 54 28 82
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumber 52 38 90
9 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 58 45 103
10 Providence College Providence College Friars 54 65 119
11 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 51 77 128
12 Mariners Mariners Mariners 56 75 131
13 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 75 63 138
14 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 77 73 150
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 3 2 2 1 4 14 Charles Welsh '18
Andrew Reed '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 6 1 1 2 2 18 Charlie Blasberg '18
Megha Malpani '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 10 1 3 4 4 1 23 Frank Reeg '19
Matthew Schaefer '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 2 5 6 3 10 30 Karel Mailloux-Kuz '18
Emma Dwinell '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 4 9 8 5 3 32 Pierre Dupont '16
Margaret Veltri '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 7 4 5 6 9 36 Bayard Lalor '19
Crete Clifford '17
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 11 11 6 3 8 12 51 Noah Brayer '18
Charles Klinefelter '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumber 1 10 8 13 9 11 52 John Duncan '19
Marie-Louise Schnetz '19
Boston University Boston University Rah BUDS! 7 13 10 7 11 6 54 Samuel Wright '18
Sarah Ziobro '19
Providence College Providence College Friars 9 5 11 10 12 7 54 Anna Bloomstine '19
Cicely Dahn '19
Mariners Mariners Mariners 8 8 7 9 10 14 56
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 12 9 14 11 7 5 58 Liam Shanahan '18
Theodore Lynn '18
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 13 12 12 12 13 13 75 Kelsey Martins '16
Phoung Pham '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 14 14 13 14 14 8 77 Hanna Desilets '17
Amy Modini '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 1 1 1 2 9 Julien Guiot '18
Sarah Bunney '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 1 3 3 2 1 14 Alex Moreno '19
Emily Walker '19
Boston University Boston University Rah BUDS! 1 5 4 7 5 6 28 Samuel Campbell '17
Danielle Stonely '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 4 8 4 3 10 34 Caden Buckley '19
Marykate Fallotico '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 3 5 5 7 8 35 Ryan Walker '19
Samantha Hamilton '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 6 6 9 6 7 37 Braden Foster '19
Evan Bowen '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 8 7 2 6 11 3 37 Meredith Morran '19
Grace Gagnon '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumber 9 8 7 2 8 4 38 Emma Haley '19
Anna Robling '19
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 6 10 10 10 4 5 45 Frank Egan '18
Ben Crosby '19
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 13 11 12 8 10 9 63 Kelsey Delosh '17
Courtney Grippin '17
Providence College Providence College Friars 10 9 9 11 14 12 65 Jackie Degeorgis '19
Erin Beaton '19
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 11 13 11 14 13 11 73 Isabel Rombult '19
Alix Blair '18
Mariners Mariners Mariners 14 12 13 13 9 14 75
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst 12 14 14 12 12 13 77 Molly Gallagher '17
Amelia Vinciguerra '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston UniversityBoston University Rah BUDS!335577
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688
MarinersMariners Mariners557799
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst111113131515
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers66881010
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars77991111
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams14141133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8810101212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumber101012121414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos9911111313
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 11212141411
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 21313151522
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech15152244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston UniversityBoston University Rah BUDS!446688
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears557799
MarinersMariners Mariners66881010
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst U. Mass Amherst1212141411
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers77991111
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars8810101212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15152244
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks9911111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumber111113131515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos101012121414
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 11313151522
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 214141133
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech113355

Conditions — 04/24/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From NE (39°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1017.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →