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Atlantic Coast Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 41 49 90
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 59 37 96
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 79 65 144
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 87 64 151
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 102 49 151
6 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 69 84 153
7 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 60 101 161
8 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 65 97 162
9 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 89 81 170
10 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 120 56 176
11 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 86 91 177
12 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 105 107 212
13 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 96 124 220
14 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 98 150 248
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 1 9 4 7 1 5 2 4 2 2 41 Jake Reynolds '16
Alicia Blumenthal '15
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 8 4 10 4 10 1 5 2 6 4 59 Kevin Martland '14
Kim Bolick '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 5 6 11 3 4 7 3 3 7 1 60 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Janelle Veary '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 14 3 1 11 5 6 8 1 3 10 65 Gordon Wolcott '13
Ellen Hubbard '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 2 10 8 1 12 13 1 8 4 9 69 Caleb Armstrong '16
Kaitlyn Norton '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 3 5 2 8 2 11 13 5 5 13 79 Ian Towill '14
Lalitha Kumaresan '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 4 13 9 14 9 9 7 6 1 7 86 Avery Fanning '16
Christina Frost '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 11 14 3 5 6 3 10 9 DSQ 3 87 Kyle Carney '13
Angelina Todaro '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 6 7 1 13 2 14 4 11 14 11 6 89 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13
Erin Ahlers '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 9 9 11 6 12 11 8 6 11 8 5 96 Griffin Orr '15
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 14 6 7 5 10 8 10 9 7 10 12 98 Joan Boyle '14
Tracy Venella '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 13 13 2 14 9 3 2 14 12 9 11 102 Michael Croteau '15
Charlotte Williamson '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 10 12 7 13 7 14 4 10 12 14 105 Ian Connors '13
Rebecca Engel '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 12 8 12 6 13 12 12 13 13 8 120 Don Hause Iii '14 [1-10]
Nicholas Clemence '15 [11]
Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-7]
Mariah Leffingwell '16 [8-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 7 3 1 3 3 1 2 7 2 5 3 37 Pearson Potts '16
Stephanie Kapinos '13
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 5 9 1 10 5 5 3 7 1 49 Nick Johnstone '15
Septima Mcadams '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 5 4 2 7 3 3 2 1 3 10 49 Peter Edmunds '14
Julia Rew '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 2 2 7 2 5 8 1 8 2 13 56 Alexander Curtiss '16
Ainsley Thomson '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 6 6 1 9 2 7 12 7 6 4 64 Robert Lippincott '14
Baillie Lawless '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 8 10 4 5 9 1 6 5 1 11 65 Cameron Fraser '14
Alejandra Higgins '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 12 3 10 8 6 4 9 6 8 12 81 Duncan Howes '15
Juliet Levine '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 7 11 13 13 4 14 4 4 4 2 84 Charles Nunn '16
Matthew Sola '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 11 4 8 8 6 13 11 3 11 11 5 91 Dylan Finneran '15
Jaimie Chicoine '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 13 11 7 5 4 8 9 10 9 13 8 97 Christopher Stessing '14
Alexandra Brenin '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 9 9 6 12 12 6 11 10 9 7 101 Conor Lodge '14 [1-11]
Becker Awqatty '14 [1-7]
Taylor Williams '16 [8-11]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 14 14 12 10 7 10 8 13 12 6 107 Maria Sinagra '16
Matthew Ricci '15
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 12 10 12 11 11 11 12 14 12 10 9 124 Luke Miller '15
Melissa Eiffert '14
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 14 13 13 14 14 14 13 13 14 14 14 150 Chris Myers '15
Jakub Tyczynski '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221114141313121211
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11223344556
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls12121111101099887
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars556677889910
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears44332211141413
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33445566778
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red66554433221
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons7788991010111112
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials88776655443
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99101011111212131314
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131314141122334
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111121213131414112
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010998877665
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos141413131212111110109

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221114141313121211
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears11223344556
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls12121111101099887
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars556677889910
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears44332211141413
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33445566778
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red66554433221
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons7788991010111112
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials88776655443
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99101011111212131314
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131314141122334
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111121213131414112
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010998877665
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos141413131212111110109
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Ian Towill '14 Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Terriers Cameron Fraser '14 Alejandra Higgins '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michael Croteau '15 Charlotte Williamson '15
Polar Bears Peter Edmunds '14 Julia Rew '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jake Reynolds '16 Alicia Blumenthal '15
Cougars Nick Johnstone '15 Septima Mcadams '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Kevin Martland '14 Kim Bolick '15
Camels Pearson Potts '16 Stephanie Kapinos '13
Cornell University Cornell University Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 Erin Ahlers '13
Big Red Duncan Howes '15 Juliet Levine '14
Drexel University Drexel University Joan Boyle '14 Tracy Venella '16
Dragons Chris Myers '15 Jakub Tyczynski '15
George Washington University George Washington University Ian Connors '13 Rebecca Engel '13
Colonials Maria Sinagra '16 Matthew Ricci '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 Janelle Veary '15
Huskies Conor Lodge '14 [1-11] Becker Awqatty '14 [1-7]
Taylor Williams '16 [8-11]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Kyle Carney '13 Angelina Todaro '16
Seahawks Robert Lippincott '14 Baillie Lawless '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Don Hause Iii '14 [1-10]
Nicholas Clemence '15 [11]		 Kaitlyn Noreen '16 [1-7]
Mariah Leffingwell '16 [8-11]
Seahawks Alexander Curtiss '16 Ainsley Thomson '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Avery Fanning '16 Christina Frost '16
Bears Dylan Finneran '15 Jaimie Chicoine '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Bulls Luke Miller '15 Melissa Eiffert '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Caleb Armstrong '16 Kaitlyn Norton '15
Rams Charles Nunn '16 Matthew Sola '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Gordon Wolcott '13 Ellen Hubbard '14
Wahoos Christopher Stessing '14 Alexandra Brenin '15

Conditions — 11/10/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1026.8 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From SSE (157°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1026.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →