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Wellahan Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Camels Camels Camels 34 8 42
2 Polar Bears Polar Bears Polar Bears 24 27 51
3 Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 25 39 64
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 32 39 71
5 Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 46 38 84
6 Big Green Big Green Big Green 48 44 92
7 Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 54 42 96
8 Huskies Huskies Huskies 52 44 96
9 Mariners Mariners Mariners 51 50 101
10 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 54 56 110
11 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 44 82 126
12 Panthers Panthers Panthers 66 60 126
13 Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers 80 57 137
14 Huskies Huskies Huskies 80 74 154
15 Judges Judges Judges 49 107 156
16 Ephs Ephs Ephs 85 78 163
17 Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross 94 87 181
18 Blue Blue Blue 134 GDQ 134 GDQ 268 GDQ
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Polar Bears Polar Bears Polar Bears 4 1 2 15 1 1 24
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 2 2 4 4 6 7 25
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 4 3 3 2 11 32 Bradley Brown '15 [1-2]
Kayla Ellis '16 [3-6]
Camels Camels Camels 1 8 8 2 5 10 34
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 7 3 17 1 4 12 44 Johannes Raatz '15
Olivia Recht '15
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 12 6 9 7 10 2 46
Big Green Big Green Big Green 10 15 1 5 8 9 48
Judges Judges Judges 8 7 7 8 15 4 49
Mariners Mariners Mariners 5 12 11 6 9 8 51
Huskies Huskies Huskies 6 11 15 11 3 6 52
Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 3 5 6 9 14 17 54
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 11 10 5 16 7 5 54
Panthers Panthers Panthers 17 9 12 14 11 3 66
Huskies Huskies Huskies 14 14 13 13 12 14 80
Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers 15 13 10 10 16 16 80
Ephs Ephs Ephs 13 16 14 12 17 13 85
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross 16 17 16 17 13 15 94
Blue Blue Blue DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 134 GDQ
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Camels Camels Camels 2 2 1 1 1 1 8
Polar Bears Polar Bears Polar Bears 3 1 9 5 7 2 27
Bobcats Bobcats Bobcats 9 7 4 4 6 8 38
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 10 3 7 12 3 4 39
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 12 4 6 2 8 7 39 Bradley Brown '15 [1-2]
Kayla Ellis '16 [3-6]
Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 5 5 2 11 4 15 42
Huskies Huskies Huskies 1 12 10 7 11 3 44
Big Green Big Green Big Green 13 14 3 3 2 9 44
Mariners Mariners Mariners 7 6 8 6 12 11 50
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 6 10 11 15 9 5 56
Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers 4 9 5 16 13 10 57
Panthers Panthers Panthers 8 11 14 10 5 12 60
Huskies Huskies Huskies 11 8 12 14 15 14 74
Ephs Ephs Ephs 14 DNF 16 13 10 6 78
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 15 15 15 8 16 13 82 Michael Stellato '16
Rebecca Uttormark '16
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross DNF 13 13 9 14 DNF 87
Judges Judges Judges DNF 16 17 17 DNS DNF 107
Blue Blue Blue DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 134 GDQ
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs113355
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats2218181616
Polar BearsPolar Bears Polar Bears44221818
JudgesJudges Judges335577
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears664422
HuskiesHuskies Huskies141412121010
CamelsCamels Camels557799
Big GreenBig Green Big Green77991111
Holy CrossHoly Cross Holy Cross886644
MarinersMariners Mariners111113131515
BuccaneersBuccaneers Buccaneers1212101088
RedbirdsRedbirds Redbirds9911111313
PanthersPanthers Panthers10108866
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats1515171711
HuskiesHuskies Huskies131315151717
BlueBlue Blue161614141212
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals17171133
EphsEphs Ephs181816161414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs224466
BobcatsBobcats Bobcats1117171515
Polar BearsPolar Bears Polar Bears33111717
JudgesJudges Judges446688
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears553311
HuskiesHuskies Huskies1313111199
CamelsCamels Camels66881010
Big GreenBig Green Big Green8810101212
Holy CrossHoly Cross Holy Cross775533
MarinersMariners Mariners121214141616
BuccaneersBuccaneers Buccaneers11119977
RedbirdsRedbirds Redbirds101012121414
PanthersPanthers Panthers997755
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats1616181822
HuskiesHuskies Huskies141416161818
BlueBlue Blue151513131111
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals18182244
EphsEphs Ephs171715151313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Amherst College Amherst College Johannes Raatz '15 Olivia Recht '15
Lord Jeffs Michael Stellato '16 Rebecca Uttormark '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Brown '15 [1-2]
Kayla Ellis '16 [3-6]
Bears Bradley Brown '15 [1-2]
Kayla Ellis '16 [3-6]

Conditions — 10/21/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1009.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 26.4 kn
From W (271°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover43% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1009.5 hPa

What this breeze does at New Hampshire — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at New Hampshire in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled fleet-race days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →