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Gardner Island Invite SS3

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 127
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 143
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 150
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 179
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 249
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 302
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 320
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 1 2 1 3 2 2 5 2 4 7 10 2 4 5 50 Bryce Kopp '16 [1-14]
Emily Vasiliou '16 [1-10]
Katherine Andril '13 [11-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 11 4 9 2 1 6 2 7 8 1 4 4 7 1 67 Jacob Denney '13
Mara Rettig '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 7 7 8 1 6 8 4 1 10 4 3 9 3 2 73 Ian Hollerbach '14
Abigail Cook '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 2 3 5 12 9 4 3 10 1 2 2 10 5 8 76 Duncan Swain '15
Julie Pringle '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 8 1 3 11 13 9 1 9 3 6 1 5 1 6 77 Gabriel Salk '14 [1-14]
Bettina Redway '16 [1-10]
Michael Sweeney '15 [11-14]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 4 6 2 4 4 1 9 5 11 3 7 3 11 7 77 A. Tucker Atterbury '16
James Bartlein '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 3 8 4 8 5 3 10 4 5 8 8 6 10 4 86 Megan Yeigh '16
Callagy Ross '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 6 9 6 13 8 7 6 8 2 10 6 1 8 3 93 Henry O'Brien '15
Gregory Drapcho '16
Brown University Brown University Bears A 5 5 7 10 3 5 13 3 7 5 13 12 2 9 99 James Barry '16
Courtney Bergh '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 10 10 12 7 10 11 8 11 6 12 12 11 6 10 136 Patrick Penwell '16
Robert Piispanen '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 12 11 13 5 7 10 11 14 9 9 9 13 13 14 150 Christopher Jensen '14 [1-10]
John Silvestri '16 [11-14]
Micaela Sullivan '13 [1-10]
Mary Zeolla '13 [11-14]
Brown University Brown University Bears B 9 14 11 9 12 14 7 13 13 11 5 8 12 12 150 Reid Secondo '16 [1-10]
Emmett Weeks '14 [11-14]
Elizabeth Sturr '15 [1-10]
Lucas Serra '13 [11-14]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 13 12 10 6 11 12 12 12 12 14 11 7 9 11 152 James Goodson '15 [1-9]
Shannon Killian '16 [10-12]
Mary Clawson '15 [13-14]
Shannon Killian '16 [1-9]
James Goodson '15 [10-12]
Nicole Ioannilli '13 [13-14]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 14 13 14 14 14 13 14 6 14 13 14 14 14 13 184 Samuel Morley '14
Timothy Keohan '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11223344556677
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels221114141313121211111010
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams6655443322111414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks33445566778899
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks44332211141413131212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos556677889910101111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts7788991010111112121313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears88776655443322
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels991010111112121313141411
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131314141122334455
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1010998877665544
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111121213131414112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121111101099887766
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts141413131212111110109988

Conditions — 09/29/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1012.6 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NNW (349°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.1 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1012.6 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →