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Atlantic Coast Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 46 35 81
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 36 45 81
3 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 51 40 91
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 49 50 99
5 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 61 44 105
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 58 74 132
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 70 77 147
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 62 86 148
9 Connecticut College Connecticut College Connecticut College 90 78 168
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 99 70 169
11 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 80 101 181
12 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 83 98 181
13 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 94 98 192
14 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 113 87 200
15 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 131 102 233
16 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 101 141 242
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 3 4 7 1 2 2 6 9 36 Robert Floyd '17 [1-9]
John Lewis '17 [1-4]
Rebecca Mcelvain '19 [5-9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 10 2 1 9 5 8 2 8 46 Bryce Kopp '16 [1-9]
Albert Rodiger '18 [1-6]
Victoria Allen '16 [7-9]
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 8 1 10 5 1 4 8 5 49 Patrick Shanahan '19
Katherine Sudol '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 11 1 10 4 10 6 3 3 3 51 Maximiliano Agnese '16 [1-9]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [1-4]
Catie Hopkins '17 [5-9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 9 8 2 2 10 14 1 7 58 Martim Anderson '18 [1-9]
Tyler Killion '18 [1-4]
Breanne Baldino '16 [5-9]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 6 3 5 4 3 16 15 6 61 Connor Godfrey '16 [1-8]
Will Holz '17 [9]
Connor Murphy '16 [1-8]
Johanna Monro '16 [9]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 13 5 3 3 14 1 4 13 62 Casey Gowrie '16 [1-9]
Aaron Klein '18 [1-6]
Leah Fletcher '17 [7-9]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 5 6 6 13 4 9 5 14 70 William Crary '17 [1-9]
Mike Kanare '16 [1-5]
Sydney Connor '18 [6-9]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 2 12 9 7 7 12 11 16 80 Eric Siegel '16 [1-9]
Maura Matthews '18 [1-4]
Lindsey Arnstein '18 [5-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 7 15 11 6 13 7 9 2 83 Jackson Hamilton '19
Jacqueline Berlin '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Connecticut College 9 14 9 15 12 8 15 7 1 90 Charlotte List '18
Alexandra Maurillo '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 10 15 11 13 8 9 5 13 10 94 Christopher Craven '16 [1-9]
Rodman Brown '16 [1-4]
Katherine Green '19 [5-9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 14 4 14 14 11 11 6 10 15 99 Dakota Northrup '19 [1-4]
Patrick Isherwood '17 [5-9]
Lauren Oliveira '19 [1-4]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 12 12 13 8 14 12 10 16 4 101 Austin Neuman '16
Dominique Neubelt '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 11 7 12 15 15 13 14 11 113 John Silvestri '16 [1-2, 7-8]
Sam Shannon '19 [3-6, 9]
Bayard Lalor '19 [1-2]
John Silvestri '16 [3-4]
Kaylen Heath '16 [5-6]
Jennifer Killian '19 [7-9]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 16 16 16 16 16 16 11 12 12 131 George Williams '17 [1-9]
Benjamin Hawkins '18 [1-2]
Martin Hooker '18 [3-6]
Bryan Davis '17 [7-9]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 2 5 3 OCS 1 1 1 3 35 Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-9]
Walter Florio '18 [1-4]
Eliza Garry '17 [5-9]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 7 10 3 8 4 3 2 2 1 40 Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-6]
Jack Swikart '15 [7-9]
Joseph Egan '18 [1-2]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [3-9]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 3 2 1 5 6 8 3 15 44 Alecsander Tayler '17
Madeleine Sims '16
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 1 1 2 2 11 13 7 4 45 Nathaniel Johansson '18
Madeleine Walker '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 9 8 6 1 2 4 4 7 50 James Barry '16
Haley Carter '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 14 5 12 4 7 8 6 12 2 70 Brendan Read '19
Sarah Morin '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 8 6 7 6 4 15 11 14 74 Dirk Johnson '18 [1-5]
Michael Gemperline '17 [6-9]
Peter Forsberg '19 [1-4]
Virginia Yeatts '19 [5-9]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 7 7 14 13 7 9 8 6 77 Benjamin Craig '17 [1-9]
Alan Mckinnon Iii '18 [1-5]
Samuel Magill-Dohan '18 [6-9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Connecticut College 10 4 11 5 3 9 14 DSQ 5 78 Emilia Clementi '18 [1-9]
Haley Kachmar '18 [1-5]
Serena Cipullo '17 [6-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 12 9 9 11 14 7 6 13 86 Samuel Shea '19 [1-9]
Leah Fletcher '17 [1-4]
Marie-Louise Schnetz '19 [5-9]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 11 6 4 10 14 10 12 9 11 87 Sean Beaulieu '18 [1-5, 9]
Shannon Killian '16 [6-8]
Kathryn Travers '16 [1-8]
Emily Conaton '19 [9]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 12 13 15 15 10 12 3 10 8 98 Alexander Singh '19 [1-9]
Julia Gowell '18 [1-4]
Eliza Schuett '17 [5-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 11 10 11 12 5 11 13 12 98 John Wehner '18
John Hughes '18
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 8 15 14 12 9 15 5 14 9 101 Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-9]
Alexander Smith '17 [1-2]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [3-5]
Karlyn Long '17 [6-9]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 16 14 13 13 8 13 10 5 10 102 Jennifer Lee '17
Melissa Conway '16
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 15 16 16 16 15 16 16 15 16 141 Clark Spencer Ragsdale '19 [1-9]
No Show [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Kelly Flynn '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears113355779
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies111113131515113
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels2216161414121210
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Connecticut College3355779911
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green44221616141412
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799111113
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners10108866442
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies664422161614
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1212101088664
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1313151511335
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks77991111131315
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8866442216
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos991111131315151
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts141412121010886
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos15151133557
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen16161414121210108

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244668810
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies121214141616224
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels111515131311119
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Connecticut College446688101012
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33111515131311
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010121214
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners997755331
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies553311151513
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers11119977553
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414161622446
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks8810101212141416
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks7755331115
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos10101212141416162
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1313111199775
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16162244668
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151513131111997
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Patrick Shanahan '19 Katherine Sudol '16
Bears James Barry '16 Haley Carter '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 [1-9] Albert Rodiger '18 [1-6]
Victoria Allen '16 [7-9]
Camels Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-9] Walter Florio '18 [1-4]
Eliza Garry '17 [5-9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Charlotte List '18 Alexandra Maurillo '18
Connecticut College Emilia Clementi '18 [1-9] Haley Kachmar '18 [1-5]
Serena Cipullo '17 [6-9]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Robert Floyd '17 [1-9] John Lewis '17 [1-4]
Rebecca Mcelvain '19 [5-9]
Big Green Nathaniel Johansson '18 Madeleine Walker '18
Fordham University Fordham University Connor Godfrey '16 [1-8]
Will Holz '17 [9]		 Connor Murphy '16 [1-8]
Johanna Monro '16 [9]
Rams Alecsander Tayler '17 Madeleine Sims '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Huskies John Wehner '18 John Hughes '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Martim Anderson '18 [1-9] Tyler Killion '18 [1-4]
Breanne Baldino '16 [5-9]
Hawks Dirk Johnson '18 [1-5]
Michael Gemperline '17 [6-9]		 Peter Forsberg '19 [1-4]
Virginia Yeatts '19 [5-9]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 [1-2, 7-8]
Sam Shannon '19 [3-6, 9]		 Bayard Lalor '19 [1-2]
John Silvestri '16 [3-4]
Kaylen Heath '16 [5-6]
Jennifer Killian '19 [7-9]
Seahawks Sean Beaulieu '18 [1-5, 9]
Shannon Killian '16 [6-8]		 Kathryn Travers '16 [1-8]
Emily Conaton '19 [9]
Tufts University Tufts University Casey Gowrie '16 [1-9] Aaron Klein '18 [1-6]
Leah Fletcher '17 [7-9]
Jumbos Samuel Shea '19 [1-9] Leah Fletcher '17 [1-4]
Marie-Louise Schnetz '19 [5-9]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Austin Neuman '16 Dominique Neubelt '19
Mariners Clark Spencer Ragsdale '19 [1-9] No Show [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Kelly Flynn '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut George Williams '17 [1-9] Benjamin Hawkins '18 [1-2]
Martin Hooker '18 [3-6]
Bryan Davis '17 [7-9]
Huskies Jennifer Lee '17 Melissa Conway '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Maximiliano Agnese '16 [1-9] Lucy Sergeant '18 [1-4]
Catie Hopkins '17 [5-9]
Quakers Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-6]
Jack Swikart '15 [7-9]		 Joseph Egan '18 [1-2]
Lucy Sergeant '18 [3-9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Dakota Northrup '19 [1-4]
Patrick Isherwood '17 [5-9]		 Lauren Oliveira '19 [1-4]
Rams Brendan Read '19 Sarah Morin '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont William Crary '17 [1-9] Mike Kanare '16 [1-5]
Sydney Connor '18 [6-9]
Catamounts Benjamin Craig '17 [1-9] Alan Mckinnon Iii '18 [1-5]
Samuel Magill-Dohan '18 [6-9]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 [1-9] Rodman Brown '16 [1-4]
Katherine Green '19 [5-9]
Wahoos Alexander Singh '19 [1-9] Julia Gowell '18 [1-4]
Eliza Schuett '17 [5-9]
Washington College Washington College Eric Siegel '16 [1-9] Maura Matthews '18 [1-4]
Lindsey Arnstein '18 [5-9]
Shoremen Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-9] Alexander Smith '17 [1-2]
Griffin Rodrigue '18 [3-5]
Karlyn Long '17 [6-9]

Conditions — 11/14/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1014.6 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.9 kn
Gusts to 30.9 kn
From WNW (302°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1014.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 16 kn · W 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Connecticut College: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Connecticut College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (51 labelled days at Connecticut College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →