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Nickerson Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 40 14 54
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 44 71 115
3 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 65 55 120
4 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 60 87 147
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 87 60 147
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 65 89 154
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 78 80 158
8 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 79 93 172
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 57 118 175
10 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 87 89 176
11 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 109 67 176
12 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 100 95 195
13 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 120 96 216
14 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 144 93 237
15 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 122 136 258
16 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 142 143 285
17 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 144 165 309
18 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 171 159 330
19 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 189 199 388
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 13 1 2 3 2 5 1 5 6 40 Maximiliano Agnese '16
Riley Calhoun '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 2 7 1 11 13 2 2 1 4 44 Connor Corgard '16
Breanne Baldino '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 6 5 3 4 4 4 7 2 13 57 Megan Yeigh '16
John Ring '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 7 12 4 6 8 1 10 3 5 60 Bryce Kopp '16
Emily Vasiliou '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 1 10 13 7 5 6 3 4 2 65 Ryan Astwood '16
Margaret Swanson '16
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 15 5 3 7 1 3 7 6 15 3 65 Axel Sly '16 [1-10]
Samantha Steele '16 [1-7]
Noelle Herring '16 [8-10]
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 15 15 6 8 6 9 4 7 1 78 James Barry '16
Courtney Bergh '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 3 9 8 5 14 8 11 8 8 79 David Larson '16
Audrey Olshefsky '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 4 6 17 10 10 13 5 6 10 87 James Moody '16 [1-10]
Samantha Fine '16 [1-7]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [8-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 16 11 4 5 2 1 12 15 9 12 87 Ian White '16
Chris Dawson '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 13 8 2 9 13 7 14 14 11 9 100 Elise Gehling '17
Linnea Goldstein '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 10 18 18 9 11 10 8 10 7 109 Christian Houston-Floyd '16
Tess Lameyer '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 10 9 13 10 14 9 3 17 18 17 120 Andrew Britton '16 [1-7]
Matthew Orgill '16 [8-10]
Taylor Peace '16 [1-7]
Karisa Maurer '16 [8-10]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 12 8 12 12 15 11 13 17 11 122 John Cappetta '16
Michela Moscufo '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 18 14 11 16 18 16 16 16 14 142 Karl Ryder '16
Alexander Hunt '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 12 14 17 14 15 16 15 12 14 15 144 Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-10]
Taylor Landeryou '16 [1-7]
Evan Vowell '16 [8-10]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 17 16 11 15 18 12 17 9 13 16 144 Evan Olson '16
Katelynd Sperry '16
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 19 17 16 19 17 17 18 18 12 18 171 Anthony Lowther '14
Maddy Crowley '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 18 19 19 16 19 19 19 DNS DNS DNS 189 Catherine Walsh '16
Deren Ertas '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 14 Erika Reineke '17
Kaitlin Driscoll '16
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 2 2 2 9 3 15 8 5 4 55 Yuki Yoshiyasu '16
Michelle Catania '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 12 4 4 10 5 2 7 5 6 5 60 Matthew Coughlin '16
Robert Piispanen '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 13 3 5 7 2 7 8 6 2 14 67 Courtney Koos '16
Paige Speight '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 7 11 3 13 10 8 2 2 8 7 71 A. Tucker Atterbury '16 [1-6]
Sara Swanson '16 [7-10]
Sara Swanson '16 [1-6]
Abby Preston '15 [7-10]
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 10 14 8 17 5 3 10 4 3 80 Nathan Allman '16
Ragna Eide '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 11 6 11 14 6 4 5 9 10 11 87 Nicholas Arabia '16
Bettina Redway '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 9 6 4 4 16 12 13 14 9 89 Rolfe Glover '16 [1-10]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [1-6]
Claire Brodie '16 [7-10]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 12 12 12 18 6 9 4 1 6 89 Brendan Cook '16
Hannah Callahan '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 17 9 5 11 11 10 7 7 13 93 Rosalind Lesh '16 [1-6]
William Livernois '16 [7-10]
Marina Crowe '16 [1-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 10 7 13 15 3 9 4 11 11 10 93 Christopher Cyr '16
Sophie Lucente '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 15 7 16 8 14 13 3 13 2 95 Jesse Thomas '17
Kristen Kuzil '16
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 16 8 8 1 7 10 14 15 9 8 96 Nicholas Odegard '16
Robert Turley '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 5 10 11 15 17 11 12 17 12 118 Mike Kanare '16
Gregory Drapcho '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 14 13 15 9 13 18 6 14 18 16 136 Mackenzie Macrae '16
Camille Campion '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15 14 16 6 14 12 18 16 15 17 143 Robert Queisser '16
Ryan Davis '16
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 17 16 18 18 12 13 17 17 16 15 159 Will Franquet '14
Kate Andrews '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 18 18 17 17 16 15 16 18 12 18 165 Steven Bell '16
Seth Poplawski '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 19 DSQ DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 199 Jules Beman '16
Rachel Kurlander '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2233445566
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3322212120201919
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers667788991010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears554433222121
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears8899101011111212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels7766554433
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners12121313141415151616
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers131312121111101099
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds9988776655
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines10101111121213131414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers11111010998877
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies14141515161617171818
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181819192020212122
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks15151414131312121111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal16161717181819192020
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos17171616151514141313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts19191818171716161515
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals20202121223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2233445566
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3322212120201919
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers667788991010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4455667788
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears554433222121
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears8899101011111212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels7766554433
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners12121313141415151616
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers131312121111101099
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds9988776655
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines10101111121213131414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers11111010998877
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies14141515161617171818
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams181819192020212122
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks15151414131312121111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal16161717181819192020
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos17171616151514141313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts19191818171716161515
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals20202121223344
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College John Cappetta '16 Michela Moscufo '16
Bobcats Mackenzie Macrae '16 Camille Campion '16
Boston College Boston College Maximiliano Agnese '16 Riley Calhoun '16
Eagles Erika Reineke '17 Kaitlin Driscoll '16
Boston University Boston University Ryan Astwood '16 Margaret Swanson '16
Terriers Brendan Cook '16 Hannah Callahan '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Christian Houston-Floyd '16 Tess Lameyer '16
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 Paige Speight '16
Brown University Brown University James Barry '16 Courtney Bergh '16
Bears Nathan Allman '16 Ragna Eide '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 Emily Vasiliou '16
Camels Nicholas Arabia '16 Bettina Redway '16
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Evan Olson '16 Katelynd Sperry '16
Mariners Steven Bell '16 Seth Poplawski '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology David Larson '16 Audrey Olshefsky '16
Engineers Rosalind Lesh '16 [1-6]
William Livernois '16 [7-10]		 Marina Crowe '16 [1-6]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Karl Ryder '16 Alexander Hunt '16
Buccaneers Robert Queisser '16 Ryan Davis '16
McGill University McGill University Anthony Lowther '14 Maddy Crowley '16
Redbirds Will Franquet '14 Kate Andrews '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Elise Gehling '17 Linnea Goldstein '16
Huskies Jesse Thomas '17 Kristen Kuzil '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Connor Corgard '16 Breanne Baldino '16
Hawks A. Tucker Atterbury '16 [1-6]
Sara Swanson '16 [7-10]		 Sara Swanson '16 [1-6]
Abby Preston '15 [7-10]
Stanford University Stanford University Axel Sly '16 [1-10] Samantha Steele '16 [1-7]
Noelle Herring '16 [8-10]
Cardinal Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 Michelle Catania '16
Tufts University Tufts University James Moody '16 [1-10] Samantha Fine '16 [1-7]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [8-10]
Jumbos Rolfe Glover '16 [1-10] Kate Wasynczuk '16 [1-6]
Claire Brodie '16 [7-10]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Andrew Britton '16 [1-7]
Matthew Orgill '16 [8-10]		 Taylor Peace '16 [1-7]
Karisa Maurer '16 [8-10]
Bears Nicholas Odegard '16 Robert Turley '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-10] Taylor Landeryou '16 [1-7]
Evan Vowell '16 [8-10]
Wolverines Christopher Cyr '16 Sophie Lucente '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Ian White '16 Chris Dawson '16
Rams Matthew Coughlin '16 Robert Piispanen '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Megan Yeigh '16 John Ring '16
Catamounts Mike Kanare '16 Gregory Drapcho '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Catherine Walsh '16 Deren Ertas '16
Cardinals Jules Beman '16 Rachel Kurlander '16

Conditions — 10/27/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1016.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn · NE 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Coast Guard: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Coast Guard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (57 labelled days at Coast Guard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →