Wellahan Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 21 16 37
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 15 22 37
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 27 12 39
4 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 15 25 40
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 30 15 45
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 30 34 64
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 29 45 74
8 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 42 40 82
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 35 48 83
10 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 62 37 99
11 Trinity College Trinity College Bantam 55 46 101
12 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 47 56 103
13 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 49 59 108
14 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 75 75 150
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 1 5 6 1 15 John Cappetta '16
Camilla Nivison '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 2 1 2 4 15 Becker Awqatty '14
Linnea Goldstein '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 5 7 1 5 21 Conor Fowler '14
Madison Sparber '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 6 2 8 3 27 Philip Koch '16 [1-4]
Matthew Lyons '17 [5]
Hunter Moeller '17 [1-4]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 4 3 11 7 29 Alexander Strothe '14
Alexander Schell '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 DSQ 5 6 30 Cameron Barclift '14
Erin Bondy '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 9 4 4 8 30 William Dykes '15
David Mazotas '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 11 8 7 2 35 Karl Ryder '16
Evan Sampou '17
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 9 10 9 3 11 42 Briana Travers '17
Sara Newstein '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 7 6 9 13 47 Simon Li '14
Andreane Bellon De Chassy '17
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 10 8 10 12 9 49 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Sydney Lolli '15
Trinity College Trinity College Bantam 11 13 11 10 10 55 Robert Dresses '15
Tim Hanson '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 12 12 13 12 62 Christopher Baker '16
Catherine Stavola '14
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 75 No Show
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SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 2 1 2 5 12 Mary Paz '17
Frances Jimenez '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 3 3 4 1 15 Kate Levinson '15
Emily Lynn '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 5 4 1 3 16 Erica Lush '14
Simon Bertocci '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 1 2 12 6 22 Victoria Mcgruer '17
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 4 5 3 2 25 Mackenzie Macrae '16
Camille Cushman '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 8 7 5 8 34 Emmet Todd '17
Ann Sager '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 6 8 6 7 37 Jennifer Lee '17
George Williams '17
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 8 11 10 7 4 40 Robert Bueti '15
Joe Dalton '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 9 6 11 12 45 Sarah Pollick '14
Ellen Sartorelli '17
Trinity College Trinity College Bantam 9 7 12 8 10 46 Brit Woodworth '14
Field Martin '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 5 10 13 9 11 48 Timothy Forgione '16
Mariah Allen '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 12 9 10 13 56 Emmet Austin '16
Jessica Horne '17
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 13 13 11 13 9 59 Earl Lin '15
Rachel Kurlander '16
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 75 No Show
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Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs11335
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers44668
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies121214142
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross55779
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers88101012
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds668810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers779911
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1313113
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113
Trinity CollegeTrinity College Bantam1010121214
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111113131
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1414224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs22446
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats33557
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers55779
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44668
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1313113
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross668810
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers99111113
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds779911
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers88101012
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1414224
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121214
Trinity CollegeTrinity College Bantam111113131
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121214142
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals11335

Conditions — 10/27/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1010.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →