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ODU Spring Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 26 18 44
2 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 28 32 60
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 23 59 82
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 32 50 82
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 49 39 88
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 61 38 99
7 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 77 31 108
8 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 58 86 144
9 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 72 76 148
10 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 78 88 166
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 2 2 2 4 6 2 1 3 23 Ellie Ungar '19
Gloria Kevliciute '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 3 6 3 1 4 1 2 4 26 Rose Edwards '18 [1-9]
Olivia Van Den Born '21 [1-6]
Macey Mccann '20 [7-9]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 5 1 1 5 2 1 5 7 1 28 Riley Legault '19
Tanner Chapko '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 4 3 1 3 2 3 8 2 32 Olivia Windemuller '19
Makalynne Dyer '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 5 9 6 5 3 4 3 5 49 Delaney Brown '20 [1-3]
Kathryn Bornarth '21 [4-9]
Rachel Yannelli '19 [1-3]
Delaney Brown '20 [4-9]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 8 7 5 4 6 9 7 4 8 58 Ava Esquier '20
Dana Hackett '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 10 8 7 8 5 6 6 7 61 Jessica Mcjones '20 [1-9]
Karma Richards '20 [1-6]
Anna Cutler '20 [7-9]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 6 4 9 9 8 DNS DNS DNS 72 Simone Staff '18
Kerri Luttrell '21
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 10 8 10 10 10 10 8 5 6 77 Carolyn Keck '19 [1-9]
Rebekah Janssen '21 [1-3, 7-9]
Emma Zalog '20 [4-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 7 9 7 8 7 7 DNS DNS DNS 78 Mary Berg '20
Sophia Ricker '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 6 18 Lola Bushnell '18 [1-6]
Marley Mais '21 [7-9]
Hannah Hess '19 [1-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 8 3 6 2 5 2 2 1 31 Andrea Sullivan '18
Maggie Houtz '19
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 2 4 5 5 4 4 3 2 32 Aitana Mendiguren '20
Sarah Noyes '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 6 2 3 6 6 3 4 3 38 Brittney Slook '20 [1-9]
Anna Cutler '20 [1-6]
Karma Richards '20 [7-9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 3 5 2 3 3 6 6 7 39 Marina Barzaghi '21
Shani Scwartz '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 7 7 6 4 7 2 5 7 5 50 Bridget Groble '22
Victoria Ewing '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks DNF 5 8 8 8 7 7 1 4 59 Jessica Bennett '20 [1-9]
Dyson Lord '19 [1, 7-9]
Laura Dennison '21 [2-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 4 9 7 4 DNF DNS DNS DNS 76 Julia Downey '20
Marina Fennell '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 6 10 10 9 10 8 DNS DNS DNS 86 Raemie Ladner '19
Kelly Hanlon '21
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 9 9 7 10 9 DNF DNS DNS DNS 88 Clementine Furber '21 [1-3]
Catie Cullen '20 [4-9]
Katherine Robinson '19 [1-3]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials111222333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas222111101010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen666555444
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs333444555
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers888777666
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls999101010111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks444333222
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave Women555666777
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos777888999
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers101010999888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials111222333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas222111101010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen666555444
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs333444555
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers888777666
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls999101010111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks444333222
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave Women555666777
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos777888999
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers101010999888

Conditions — 03/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
19.5 kn
avg  ·  max 20.9 kn
Gusts to 37.1 kn
From NNW (333°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover21% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 20 kn · N 18 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →