SMC Quad Fleet Race II

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 9 9
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 9 9
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 12 12
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 16 16
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 17 17
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 24 24
7 Midshipmen 3 Midshipmen 3 Midshipmen 3 31 MRP 31 MRP
8 Midshipmen 1 Midshipmen 1 Midshipmen 1 37 MRP 37 MRP
9 Midshipmen 2 Midshipmen 2 Midshipmen 2 40 MRP 40 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 7 1 9 Jessica Bennett '20
Sophia Taczak '21
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 4 2 3 9 Hunter Cutting '21
Allison Gingerich '21
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 2 8 2 12 Ellie Ungar '19
Laura Dennison '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 7 3 6 16 Bridget Groble '22
Victoria Ewing '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 8 5 4 17 Hannah Pokorny '21
Julia Williams-Portland '21
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 6 9 9 24 Olivia Windemuller '19
Abigail Tutt '21
Midshipmen 3 Midshipmen 3 Midshipmen 3 5 1 5 31 MRP
Midshipmen 1 Midshipmen 1 Midshipmen 1 3 6 8 37 MRP
Midshipmen 2 Midshipmen 2 Midshipmen 2 9 4 7 40 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (41 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Midshipmen 1Midshipmen 1 Midshipmen 1111
Midshipmen 2Midshipmen 2 Midshipmen 2222
Midshipmen 3Midshipmen 3 Midshipmen 3333
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 1444
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 2555
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 3666
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1777
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2888
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3999

Conditions — 03/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1017.3 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
16.8 kn
avg  ·  max 17.9 kn
Gusts to 38.5 kn
From NNW (338°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1017.3 hPa

What this breeze does at St. Mary's — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 17 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at St. Mary's in this breeze: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in this breeze favours either side in fleet racing here: results follow the ratings about as usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled fleet-race days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →