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MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 43 49 92
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 51 50 101
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 47 56 103
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 56 50 106
5 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 69 60 129
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 75 54 129
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 65 70 135
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 70 82 152
9 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 103 91 194
10 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 91 108 199
11 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 126 122 248
12 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 146 149 295
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 1 1 10 1 1 3 1 4 8 8 4 43 Gabby Rizika '20
Adeline Sutton '21
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 2 2 3 6 3 9 3 3 4 6 3 47 Katherine Cox '20 [1-12]
Audrey Morin '21 [1-8]
Anna Flaherty '20 [9-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 4 6 2 2 4 2 8 2 1 3 DSQ 51 Ava Esquier '20
Dana Hackett '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 3 3 6 9 2 8 7 1 2 1 7 56 Marley Mais '21
Macey Mccann '20
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 5 5 1 5 10 1 2 6 6 10 6 65 Bridget Groble '22 [1-12]
Abigail Tutt '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Makalynne Dyer '22 [9-10]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 5 8 7 5 7 6 6 4 5 5 2 9 69 Aitana Mendiguren '20
Sarah Noyes '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 7 4 4 10 9 4 10 7 3 5 5 70 Jessica Bennett '20
Genna Viggiano '22
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 9 8 7 3 5 5 6 8 9 4 1 75 Olivia De Olazarra '22
Madeline Pruzan '21
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 6 10 9 11 8 7 5 10 10 7 2 91 Anna Patterson '20
Alesha Darling '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 10 9 8 8 7 10 9 9 7 9 8 103 Payton Canavan '23 [1-12]
Elizabeth Hupp '21 [1-8]
Cortney Rielly '20 [9-12]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 12 11 11 11 4 11 11 12 11 11 11 10 126 Elizabeth Harrington '22
Kieran Mcmahon '22
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 DNF DNS DNS DNS 146 Erin Splaine '23
Sophia Faram '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 1 1 5 8 4 11 1 1 3 8 3 49 Daisy Holthus '21 [1-12]
Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Jana Laurendeau '23 [9-10]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 7 7 3 3 2 3 7 4 4 5 1 50 Morgan Sailer '22 [1-12]
Victoria Boatwright '22 [1-10]
Celine Bennett '20 [11-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 2 3 11 2 1 6 6 3 1 4 6 50 Amanda Majernik '22
Laura Whelan '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 4 10 2 1 5 10 3 2 9 1 5 54 Brittney Slook '20
Fiona Lobon '22
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 6 6 2 1 7 8 9 4 7 2 2 2 56 Sinead Mcmanus '20 [1-12]
Tess Weber '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Bridget Lawless '21 [9-10]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 5 4 4 4 3 5 8 6 5 6 9 60 Julia Laforgia '23 [1-12]
Clare Cassidy-Gardner '21 [1-8]
Taylor Milefchik '22 [9-10]
Kaleigh Morgan '24 [11-12]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 3 5 7 6 6 1 9 5 6 10 4 70 Hannah Pokorny '21 [1-10]
Colleen Baumann '21 [11-12]
Katherine Barton '23 [1-4, 11-12]
Julia Williams-Portland '21 [5-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 10 8 6 9 11 2 2 8 8 3 8 82 Katherine Bennett '22 [1-6]
Gloria Kevliciute '21 [7-12]
Laura Dennison '21 [1-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 11 9 9 8 5 7 7 5 9 7 7 7 91 Caroline Sandoval '23
Brigid Murphy '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 10 8 6 9 10 9 4 11 10 11 9 11 108 Emily Key '22 [1-10]
Maiya Foleck '01 [11-12]
Alexandria Brooks '22 [1-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 11 11 10 11 10 8 10 11 10 11 10 122 Emma Sullivan '23 [1-12]
Caroline O'Keeffe '21 [1-8]
Marion Hopkinson '20 [9-12]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 12 DNF 12 12 12 12 12 12 DNF DNS DNS DNS 149 Julia Pepin '23 [1-4]
Bridget Patterson '22 [5-12]
Meghan Riley '23 [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (41 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221112121111101099
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials4433221112121111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55667788991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen665544332211
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen10109988776655
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs778899101011111212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1111121211223344
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks887766554433
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange991010111112121122
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos121211111010998877

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221112121111101099
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials4433221112121111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55667788991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen665544332211
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen10109988776655
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs778899101011111212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1111121211223344
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks887766554433
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange991010111112121122
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos121211111010998877
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Anna Patterson '20 Alesha Darling '20
Captains Emily Key '22 [1-10]
Maiya Foleck '01 [11-12]		 Alexandria Brooks '22 [1-10]
Cornell University Cornell University Gabby Rizika '20 Adeline Sutton '21
Big Red Daisy Holthus '21 [1-12] Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Jana Laurendeau '23 [9-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Payton Canavan '23 [1-12] Elizabeth Hupp '21 [1-8]
Cortney Rielly '20 [9-12]
Rams Caroline Sandoval '23 Brigid Murphy '20
George Washington University George Washington University Aitana Mendiguren '20 Sarah Noyes '20
Colonials Julia Laforgia '23 [1-12] Clare Cassidy-Gardner '21 [1-8]
Taylor Milefchik '22 [9-10]
Kaleigh Morgan '24 [11-12]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Marley Mais '21 Macey Mccann '20
Hoyas Morgan Sailer '22 [1-12] Victoria Boatwright '22 [1-10]
Celine Bennett '20 [11-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Katherine Cox '20 [1-12] Audrey Morin '21 [1-8]
Anna Flaherty '20 [9-12]
Statesmen Sinead Mcmanus '20 [1-12] Tess Weber '23 [1-8, 11-12]
Bridget Lawless '21 [9-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Bridget Groble '22 [1-12] Abigail Tutt '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Makalynne Dyer '22 [9-10]
Monarchs Hannah Pokorny '21 [1-10]
Colleen Baumann '21 [11-12]		 Katherine Barton '23 [1-4, 11-12]
Julia Williams-Portland '21 [5-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Jessica Bennett '20 Genna Viggiano '22
Seahawks Katherine Bennett '22 [1-6]
Gloria Kevliciute '21 [7-12]		 Laura Dennison '21 [1-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Erin Splaine '23 Sophia Faram '19
Orange Julia Pepin '23 [1-4]
Bridget Patterson '22 [5-12]		 Meghan Riley '23 [1-4]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Olivia De Olazarra '22 Madeline Pruzan '21
Midshipmen Brittney Slook '20 Fiona Lobon '22
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Ava Esquier '20 Dana Hackett '20
Quakers Amanda Majernik '22 Laura Whelan '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Elizabeth Harrington '22 Kieran Mcmahon '22
Wahoos Emma Sullivan '23 [1-12] Caroline O'Keeffe '21 [1-8]
Marion Hopkinson '20 [9-12]

Conditions — 10/26/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From ENE (69°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1022.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · SW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.25 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →