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MAISA Fall Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 40 21 61
2 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 48 32 80
3 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 71 43 114
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 56 61 117
5 George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 74 57 131
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 52 80 132
7 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 62 71 133
8 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 52 85 137
9 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 80 81 161
10 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 84 101 185
11 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 107 94 201
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 4 1 5 1 6 8 8 1 2 3 40 Piper Holthus '25
Audrey Fung '24
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 1 4 1 2 4 9 4 10 4 1 48 Bridget Green '25 [1-9]
Sophia Devling '26 [10-11]
Amelia Neumann '25 [1-9]
Sophia Pearce '26 [10-11]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 5 6 9 4 1 3 1 6 8 5 52 Elizabeth Gildea '24
Isabelle Kanach '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 2 2 6 6 2 5 6 5 5 6 52 Eva Blauvelt '25
Julia Christie '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 9 8 3 3 7 6 5 8 1 4 56 Madison Bashaw '24 [1-11]
Anna Flynn '25 [1-3]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [4-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 3 3 10 5 10 1 2 4 9 10 62 Heather Kerns '24
Frances Depke '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 11 6 9 4 10 9 11 3 3 3 2 71 Sofia Segalla '25 [1-6]
Madeleine Rice '24 [7-11]
Amelia Popp '25 [1-6]
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26 [7-11]
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 6 8 5 7 9 5 7 10 2 7 8 74 Emma Aubuchon '23 [1-11]
Ruby Gordon '23 [1-8]
Avery Canavan '25 [9-11]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 7 7 2 8 8 2 9 7 11 9 80 Elizabeth Cutler '24
Rebecca Keller '25
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 11 10 11 7 3 4 7 9 6 7 84 Anna Groszkowski '26
Lila Gibson '26
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 10 11 8 11 11 10 11 11 10 11 107 Grace Watlington '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Gail Schneider '25 [7-8]
Ellie Mcfall '24 [1-6, 9-11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 2 1 1 1 6 1 4 1 2 1 21 Riley Kloc '23
Addi Harris '24
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 3 2 2 4 1 7 1 3 5 2 32 Meredith Moran '23 [1-11]
Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-10]
Jana Laurendeau '23 [11]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 4 4 3 2 2 3 7 2 4 9 43 Torrey Chisari '24
Ella Marsden '24
George Washington University George Washington University Buff and Blue 6 1 5 5 6 10 2 3 9 6 4 57 Islay Van Dusen '23
Alexandra Lee '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 8 11 6 3 3 8 5 6 1 6 61 Lily Flack '25 [1-3]
Leah Rickard '26 [4-11]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [1-3]
Emma Gronda '22 [4-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 10 8 10 7 5 6 2 5 3 10 71 Brook Wood '25 [1-6]
Elizabeth Starck '25 [7-11]
Ksenia Lowry-Neufeld '25 [1-6]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 11 5 9 7 10 4 11 6 7 7 3 80 Allison Volk '25
Katherine Barton '23
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 7 7 6 9 5 7 5 8 10 9 8 81 Caroline Sandoval '23
Ashley Abboud '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 8 9 7 4 8 11 10 11 4 8 5 85 Aubin Hattendorf '24 [1-3, 9-11]
Ava Farley '26 [4-6]
Isabella Fadullon '25 [7-8]
Elizabeth Linsdell '23 [1-3, 9-10]
Linnea Forsberg '25 [4-6]
Maggie Schuler '25 [7-8]
Eleanor Niehoff '26 [11]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 10 6 3 8 11 8 9 10 8 10 11 94 Laura Smith '26
Grace Keene '24
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 9 11 10 11 9 9 4 9 11 11 7 101 Hannah Mercurio '24 [1-11]
Laura Rhodes '24 [1-3, 7-11]
Katherine Driebe '24 [4-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11122233333
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22233344444
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33344455555
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue44455566666
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55566677777
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66677788888
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1010101111111212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7778881010101010
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers11111112121211111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks8881010101111111111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos12121211122222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11122233333
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22233344444
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33344455555
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Buff and Blue44455566666
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55566677777
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66677788888
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1010101111111212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7778881010101010
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers11111112121211111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks8881010101111111111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos12121211122222
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Grace Watlington '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Gail Schneider '25 [7-8]		 Ellie Mcfall '24 [1-6, 9-11]
Captains Laura Smith '26 Grace Keene '24
Cornell University Cornell University Bridget Green '25 [1-9]
Sophia Devling '26 [10-11]		 Amelia Neumann '25 [1-9]
Sophia Pearce '26 [10-11]
Big Red Meredith Moran '23 [1-11] Gabbi Delbello '23 [1-10]
Jana Laurendeau '23 [11]
Fordham University Fordham University Elizabeth Cutler '24 Rebecca Keller '25
Rams Caroline Sandoval '23 Ashley Abboud '26
George Washington University George Washington University Emma Aubuchon '23 [1-11] Ruby Gordon '23 [1-8]
Avery Canavan '25 [9-11]
Buff and Blue Islay Van Dusen '23 Alexandra Lee '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Piper Holthus '25 Audrey Fung '24
Hoyas Riley Kloc '23 Addi Harris '24
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Heather Kerns '24 Frances Depke '25
Statesmen Brook Wood '25 [1-6]
Elizabeth Starck '25 [7-11]		 Ksenia Lowry-Neufeld '25 [1-6]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Elizabeth Gildea '24 Isabelle Kanach '25
Monarchs Allison Volk '25 Katherine Barton '23
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Madison Bashaw '24 [1-11] Anna Flynn '25 [1-3]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [4-11]
Seahawks Lily Flack '25 [1-3]
Leah Rickard '26 [4-11]		 Rachel O'Neill '24 [1-3]
Emma Gronda '22 [4-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Eva Blauvelt '25 Julia Christie '24
Midshipmen Aubin Hattendorf '24 [1-3, 9-11]
Ava Farley '26 [4-6]
Isabella Fadullon '25 [7-8]		 Elizabeth Linsdell '23 [1-3, 9-10]
Linnea Forsberg '25 [4-6]
Maggie Schuler '25 [7-8]
Eleanor Niehoff '26 [11]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Sofia Segalla '25 [1-6]
Madeleine Rice '24 [7-11]		 Amelia Popp '25 [1-6]
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26 [7-11]
Quakers Torrey Chisari '24 Ella Marsden '24
University of Virginia University of Virginia Anna Groszkowski '26 Lila Gibson '26
Wahoos Hannah Mercurio '24 [1-11] Laura Rhodes '24 [1-3, 7-11]
Katherine Driebe '24 [4-6]

Conditions — 10/29/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1030.7 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From NE (38°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1030.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.34 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →