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Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 29 29
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 38 38
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 43 43
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 48 48
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 52 52
6 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 60 60
7 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 65 65
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 69 69
9 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 73 73
10 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 78 78
11 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 79 79
12 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 81 81
13 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 89 89
14 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 97 97
15 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 102 102
16 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 109 109
17 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 125 125
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 2 1 DNS 3 2 1 1 1 29 Henry Allgeier '27
Mary Dwyer '27
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 4 3 4 8 8 3 3 5 38 Xavier Stoldt '26
Vaughn Slatoff '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 3 4 2 6 6 8 4 10 43 Jeffrey Petersen '25
Audrey Fung '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 8 10 7 4 13 2 2 2 48 Milo Miller '27
Morgan Auth '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 1 2 5 1 7 7 DNS 11 52 Trenton Shaw '24
Catherine Aitken '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 6 6 11 7 3 6 DNF 3 60 Benjamin Smith '26
Meredith Monnich '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 15 11 3 11 4 10 5 6 65 Henry Haddon '25
Siena Adduci '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 11 9 13 10 12 4 6 4 69 Landon Cormie '27
Lillian Newman '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 7 7 10 13 5 12 10 9 73 Spencer Dominguez '27
Alexander Brenia '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 9 12 1 2 14 5 DNF 17 78 Blake Goodwin '27
Lindsey Kaufmann '26
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 16 5 DNF 9 1 14 9 7 79 Teddy Martin '27
Fiona Cullen '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 5 8 9 12 10 16 13 8 81 Mats Braaten '27
Mary Catherine Hill '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 12 13 8 14 9 9 12 12 89 James Bounds '27
Mary Govan '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 17 16 6 5 17 13 7 16 97 Sam Riley '27
Kailyn Irving '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 10 14 15 17 11 11 11 13 102 Olivia Gilmore '27
Molly Hanson '27
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 14 15 12 15 15 15 8 15 109 Adelia Derose '26
Poshu Ng '27
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 13 17 14 16 16 17 DNS 14 125 Jack Pryma '26
Jack Duffy '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 122222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 233333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 344444444
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 455555555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 566666666
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11515151515151515
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21616161616161616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 31717171717171717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 41818181818181818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 177777777
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 288888888
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 399999999
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 41010101010101010
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11111111111111111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 21212121212121212
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 31313131313131313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 41414141414141414

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 999.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.2 kn
avg  ·  max 16.4 kn
Gusts to 32.3 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity59% Pressure999.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgetown: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →