Kaitlyn Scarcella

Crew Rating

Career: 85.71 percentile of ICSA crews
2.502.753.003.253.503.75T. Roeber (8 races): +0.19T. RoeberM. Adam (10 races): +0.16M. AdamFall 2023: rating 2.73Fall 2023SUNY Maritime CollegeE. Leggett (10 races): +0.96E. LeggettI. Gautier (2 races): -0.01I. GautierSpring 2024: rating 2.56Spring 2024SUNY Maritime College
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2024 SUNY Maritime College 2.56 Rating 2.56; 90% range -0.7 to 5.8; team skipper average 1.83 73.91 75.00 3 of 10 12 Team page
Fall 2023 SUNY Maritime College 2.73 Rating 2.73; 90% range -0.5 to 6.0; team skipper average 2.19 74.03 81.25 2 of 8 20 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.16 (fleet 0.22) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 1–15 (6%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20242—1–15

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 2 graded regattas (16 matches) the record is 1–15 against 1.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2024-03-23Admiral Moore Open Team Racecrew1.811.321–71.5−0.490.282%
2024-03-02DC Team Race / GWcrew1.69-1.310–80.4≤−3.000.5>99%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2024 Team page Season
MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's Crew A, B 12 12.5 +0.95
DC Team Race / GW Crew TR 8 0% —
Admiral Moore Open Team Race Crew TR 8 12% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
WAR MEMORIAL Crew B 2 10.0 —
New York Maritime Fall Open Crew B 10 7.2 +0.19
David Lee Arnoff Crew B 10 8.9 +0.16

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →