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New York Maritime Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 42 31 73
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 31 44 75
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 42 54 96
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 44 53 97
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 75 58 133
6 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 67 74 141
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 84 87 171
8 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 93 84 177
9 Boston University Boston University Terriers 107 81 188
10 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 105 113 218
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 114 119 233
12 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 134 141 275
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 4 5 2 1 1 4 2 1 6 1 3 31 Rayne Duff '25 [1-12]
Walter Wolfe '26 [1-8]
Kadi Zheng '24 [9-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 7 1 5 4 2 2 4 5 1 2 4 42 Jacob Zils '27
Alana Shigekane '27
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 6 3 4 1 2 6 1 3 2 3 3 8 42 Sophia Devling '26 [1-12]
Kate Moran '27 [1-8]
Boris Bialer '26 [9-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 1 10 3 5 4 5 1 6 2 4 1 44 Cole Woodworth '26 [1-12]
Alice Nuyttens '27 [1-8]
Caroline Friendly '27 [9-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 6 2 4 11 10 3 6 8 4 5 5 67 Asher Green '24
Skylor Wong '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 10 3 DSQ 3 3 6 5 3 5 6 10 75 Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26
Sabina Coroi '27
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 8 9 7 7 7 7 7 4 7 8 9 84 Noah Kuzloski '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jeremy Lunati '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Frixos Georgiou '25 [1-8]
Ian Guzman '27 [9-12]
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 9 9 11 6 6 8 8 12 7 8 7 2 93 Kenneth Buck '26
Edwin Mcalister '26
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 7 5 8 10 10 11 11 8 9 11 9 6 105 Matthew Collinson '24
Mia Snyder '26
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 2 6 9 8 5 9 11 11 10 DSQ 11 107 Richard Kalich '26
Sam Whipple '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 11 7 8 9 9 10 10 12 9 11 7 114 Zach Earnshaw '27
Henry Kyburg-Abbott '27
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 10 12 12 11 12 12 12 9 10 12 10 12 134 Thomas Gallant '25
Alana Vodicka '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 4 3 2 4 9 31 Lauren Ehnot '24 [1-8]
Pilar Cundey '27 [9-12]
Kit Harned '27 [1-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 4 1 11 7 2 2 6 1 2 1 6 1 44 Everett Botwinick '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Giovanni Perrotti '27 [3-4]
Payne Donaldson '24 [9-12]
Jack Prior '27 [1-10]
Giovanni Perrotti '27 [11-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 6 5 1 3 4 9 2 OCS 5 1 2 53 John Majernik '25 [1-8]
Margaux Cowles '27 [9-12]
Cat Grogan '25 [1-8]
Jude Ortega '26 [9-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 5 4 3 4 5 4 5 1 6 7 7 54 Lucas Thress '26 [1-6, 11-12]
James Owen '25 [7-10]
Caroline Newton '27 [1-6, 11-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 3 3 4 6 3 3 3 5 4 9 8 58 Gavin Sanborn '25 [1-12]
Campbell Mcclellan '26 [1-8]
Jack Taylor '27 [9-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 8 7 9 5 8 5 6 6 8 2 4 74 Jasper Waldman '25 [1-12]
Chai Mauliola '24 [1-8]
Kate Feiner '26 [9-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 8 4 2 10 8 7 7 8 7 7 3 10 81 John Cabell '26 [1-6, 9-12]
Benjamin Luu '27 [7-8]
Rufus Burnes Heath '27 [1-4, 7-12]
Benjamin Luu '27 [5-6]
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 10 9 6 11 7 11 8 7 4 3 5 3 84 Henry Parker '26 [1-6]
Andrew Tollefson '26 [7-12]
Andrew Tollefson '26 [1-6]
Henry Parker '26 [7-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 5 7 8 6 9 6 2 9 8 12 10 5 87 Thomas Roeber '27 [1-8, 11-12]
Kaitlyn Scarcella '27 [9-10]
Kaitlyn Scarcella '27 [1-8]
Frixos Georgiou '25 [9-12]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 10 10 5 10 10 10 11 OCS 9 8 6 113 Austin Latimer '27
Connor Cooper '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 11 9 8 11 9 11 10 9 10 11 11 119 Cole Capizzo '27 [1-10]
Oliver Browne '27 [11-12]
Oliver Browne '27 [1-8]
Marcel Roche '27 [9-12]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 11 12 12 141 Ryan Kanter '27
Tyler Williams '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11335577991111
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs77991111113355
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red2212121010886644
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33557799111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers4422121210108866
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers6644221212101088
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers8866442212121010
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers55779911111133
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks99111111335577
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1010886644221212
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen11111133557799
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1212101088664422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2244668810101212
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs8810101212224466
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red11111199775533
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4466881010121222
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers33111111997755
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers55331111119977
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers77553311111199
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6688101012122244
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks1010121222446688
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts99775533111111
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1212224466881010
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers11119977553311
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Richard Kalich '26 Sam Whipple '25
Terriers John Cabell '26 [1-6, 9-12]
Benjamin Luu '27 [7-8]		 Rufus Burnes Heath '27 [1-4, 7-12]
Benjamin Luu '27 [5-6]
Cornell University Cornell University Sophia Devling '26 [1-12] Kate Moran '27 [1-8]
Boris Bialer '26 [9-12]
Big Red Lauren Ehnot '24 [1-8]
Pilar Cundey '27 [9-12]		 Kit Harned '27 [1-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Jacob Zils '27 Alana Shigekane '27
Rams Lucas Thress '26 [1-6, 11-12]
James Owen '25 [7-10]		 Caroline Newton '27 [1-6, 11-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Zach Earnshaw '27 Henry Kyburg-Abbott '27
Buccaneers Cole Capizzo '27 [1-10]
Oliver Browne '27 [11-12]		 Oliver Browne '27 [1-8]
Marcel Roche '27 [9-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Asher Green '24 Skylor Wong '26
Tigers Jasper Waldman '25 [1-12] Chai Mauliola '24 [1-8]
Kate Feiner '26 [9-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Noah Kuzloski '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jeremy Lunati '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Frixos Georgiou '25 [1-8]
Ian Guzman '27 [9-12]
Privateers Thomas Roeber '27 [1-8, 11-12]
Kaitlyn Scarcella '27 [9-10]		 Kaitlyn Scarcella '27 [1-8]
Frixos Georgiou '25 [9-12]
The Citadel The Citadel Kenneth Buck '26 Edwin Mcalister '26
Bulldogs Henry Parker '26 [1-6]
Andrew Tollefson '26 [7-12]		 Andrew Tollefson '26 [1-6]
Henry Parker '26 [7-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Cole Woodworth '26 [1-12] Alice Nuyttens '27 [1-8]
Caroline Friendly '27 [9-12]
Quakers John Majernik '25 [1-8]
Margaux Cowles '27 [9-12]		 Cat Grogan '25 [1-8]
Jude Ortega '26 [9-12]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Thomas Gallant '25 Alana Vodicka '26
Gamecocks Ryan Kanter '27 Tyler Williams '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 Sabina Coroi '27
Catamounts Gavin Sanborn '25 [1-12] Campbell Mcclellan '26 [1-8]
Jack Taylor '27 [9-12]
Washington College Washington College Matthew Collinson '24 Mia Snyder '26
Shoremen Austin Latimer '27 Connor Cooper '24
Webb Institute Webb Institute Rayne Duff '25 [1-12] Walter Wolfe '26 [1-8]
Kadi Zheng '24 [9-12]
Clippers Everett Botwinick '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Giovanni Perrotti '27 [3-4]
Payne Donaldson '24 [9-12]		 Jack Prior '27 [1-10]
Giovanni Perrotti '27 [11-12]

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine6.7 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1021.6 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · NW 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →