Massachusetts Maritime Academy '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.64 (fleet 0.93) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.03 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–8 (0%) as crew 4–7 (36%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 0–8 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 2 | — | 4–7 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (19 matches) the record is 4–15 against 3.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-13 | Alymers Team race | skipper | 0.70 | -2.30 | 0–8 | 1.6 | ≤−3.00 | 2.7 | >99% |
| 2024-03-03 | McMerrick Cup SUNDAY | crew | 1.40 | 3.26 | 1–2 | 0.3 | +1.86 | 1.1 | 27% |
| 2024-03-02 | McMerrick Cup SATURDAY | crew | 1.19 | 2.45 | 3–5 | 1.3 | +1.26 | 1.6 | 12% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Shields Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 5.1 | — |
| McMillan Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 7.3 | — |
| Harman Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 4.6 | — |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.6 | 0.01 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sunday Salve Invite | Skipper | A | 5 | 8.2 | 1.49 |
| Southern 5 Saturday | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.1 | -2.10 |
| Saturday Salve Invite | Skipper | A | 7 | 10.9 | 0.36 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Shields Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 2 | 6.0 | — |
| Salt Pond Sunday | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.8 | 0.98 |
| Salt Pond Saturday | Skipper | B | 5 | 6.4 | 1.18 |
| NEISA Fall Tournament | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.5 | -0.51 |
| McMillan Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 7.4 | — |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 1 | 7.0 | — |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern 5 Saturday | Skipper | B | 5 | 10.6 | -1.95 |
| Southern 7 | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.3 | 0.55 |
| Alymers Team race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| BU Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 15.7 | -0.56 |
| Barnett Trophy | Skipper | A | 7 | 12.0 | -0.65 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Saturday Southern #5 Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 5 | 12.4 | — |
| McMerrick Cup SUNDAY | Crew | TR | 5 | 40% | — |
| McMerrick Cup SATURDAY | Crew | TR | 8 | 38% | — |
| Central 1 | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.2 | 0.34 |
| 2024 Icebreaker Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 5 | 14.0 | 0.03 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| New York Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.7 | 0.01 |
| C - Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.8 | 1.66 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.9 | -1.33 |
| The Chris Loder Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.6 | -0.21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
