Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 19 16 35
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 26 31 57
3 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 33 35 68
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 65 29 94
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 61 62 123
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 44 79 123
7 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 49 76 125
8 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 79 56 135
9 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 85 84 169
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 89 89 178
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 1 1 3 4 2 2 1 1 2 19 Olin Guck '26
Gabriella Cappelli '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 2 4 2 5 1 1 4 2 1 26 Thomas Mazzeo '26
Harrison Vose '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 4 2 1 3 3 5 2 4 6 33 Sam Harris '26
Ted Richardsson '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 6 6 6 5 1 7 4 3 3 3 44 Zach Earnshaw '27
Henry Kyburg-Abbott '27
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 5 5 6 2 6 3 5 7 9 49 Ryan Treat '27
Emma Wilke '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 7 3 8 9 5 6 6 5 7 61 Tyler Winowiecki '27
Kate Johnson '25
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 3 10 10 6 4 8 7 6 4 65 Richard Kalich '26 [1-2, 5-10]
Ada Ucar '27 [3-4]
Ada Ucar '27 [1-2]
Zachary Fournier '26 [3-10]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 8 8 8 7 7 10 9 9 8 5 79 Kai Latham '25 [1-10]
Ozel Yilmazel '25 [1-4]
Nicholas Euzebio '27 [5-10]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 10 9 9 4 10 8 7 8 10 10 85 Thomas Broadus '24
Sophia Morgan '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 9 10 7 9 8 9 10 10 9 8 89 Oliver Browne '27
Marcel Roche '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 1 4 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 16 Max Sigel '26 [1-4, 9-10]
Adam Strobridge '26 [5-8]
Jane Lally '25 [1-4, 9-10]
Ella Gibson '27 [5-8]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 5 3 4 3 2 4 1 2 2 29 John Cabell '26 [1-10]
Nicholas David '26 [1-6]
Adam Elci '26 [7-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 DSQ 31 Harry Kaya Prager '25
Cody Lamoreux '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 3 1 3 5 5 2 4 4 3 35 James Sullivan '25
Trixie Williams '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 6 4 6 5 6 8 5 7 5 4 56 Marshall Rodes '26
Algis Petlin '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 6 5 6 4 4 6 5 DNF DNS 62 Sean Morrison '27 [1-10]
Victoria Sikorjak '27 [1-6]
Aryanna Clasby '26 [7-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 9 9 7 7 6 8 8 7 5 76 Christopher Bullock '27
Dylan Infanti '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 8 7 8 10 9 7 7 6 6 DSQ 79 Joseph Gedraitis '27
James Lippert '27
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 9 8 7 9 8 9 9 10 9 6 84 Sara Beth Bouchard '24
Theo Baldwin Edwards '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 7 10 10 8 10 10 10 9 8 7 89 Cole Capizzo '27
Maeve Greally '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1133557799
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies668810102244
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen7799113355
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1224466881010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 23355779911
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats881010224466
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams9911335577
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks446688101022
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5577991133
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals101022446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466881010
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies7799113355
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen881010224466
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13355779911
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2446688101022
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats9911335577
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams101022446688
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks5577991133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos668810102244
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1133557799

Conditions — 10/07/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1005.2 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From ENE (75°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1005.2 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · SW 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →