Tufts University '26
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 0.70 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.085 rating points from 185 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | Tufts University | 0.60 | 38.02 | 4.17 | 12 of 12 | 14 | Team page | |
| Fall 2025 | Tufts University | 0.68 | 36.83 | 2.94 | 17 of 17 | 20 | Team page | |
| Spring 2025 | Tufts University | 0.36 | 28.10 | 8.82 | 16 of 17 | 30 | Team page | |
| Spring 2024 | Tufts University | 0.03 | 21.08 | 2.94 | 17 of 17 | 11 | Team page | |
| Fall 2023 | Tufts University | 0.12 | 21.34 | 5.77 | 25 of 26 | 26 | Team page | |
| Spring 2023 | Tufts University | -0.32 | 12.40 | 6.00 | 24 of 25 | 22 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 (fleet 0.81) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 24–29 (45%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | — | 9–5 |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | — | 4–17 |
| Fall 2023 | 1 | — | 8–2 |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | — | 3–5 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (53 matches) the record is 24–29 against 23.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 10 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Mystic Lake Team Race | crew | 2.41 | 2.15 | 9–5 | 9.7 | −0.26 | 0.1 | 78% |
| 2024-04-06 | Mystic Lake Team Race | crew | 1.62 | 0.57 | 4–17 | 7.7 | −1.05 | 2.7 | 99% |
| 2023-10-22 | Franklin Lane Trophy Team Race | crew | 2.00 | 4.68 | 8–2 | 4.0 | +2.68 | 7.4 | <1% |
| 2023-04-08 | Mystic Lake Team Racing Invite | crew | 1.68 | 2.07 | 3–5 | 2.4 | +0.40 | 0.2 | 45% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Crew | B | 14 | 5.9 | +0.06 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Crew | TR | 14 | 64% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Mystic Lake Invite | Crew | A | 4 | 10.5 | +0.04 |
| The Hood Trophy | Crew | B | 4 | 8.2 | -0.12 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Crew | A | 12 | 7.3 | -0.71 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| George Morris Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 5.0 | +0.08 |
| BU Trophy | Crew | A | 12 | 6.8 | -0.12 |
| Admiral’s Cup | Crew | B | 12 | 9.6 | +0.01 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Crew | TR | 21 | 19% | — |
| Boston University Trophy FR | Crew | B | 6 | 8.0 | -0.39 |
| 2024 Icebreaker Fleet Race | Crew | B | 5 | 5.0 | +0.00 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Hood Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 11.9 | -0.10 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Crew | A | 10 | 2.6 | +0.24 |
| Franklin Lane Trophy Team Race | Crew | TR | 10 | 80% | — |
| The Dark of Night | Skipper | A | 2 | 8.5 | 1.53 |
| BU Invite Oct | Crew | B | 8 | 3.6 | +0.13 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Tufts Alumni Regatta 2023-Larks | Crew | C | 4 | 6.0 | -0.01 |
| Sunday Salve Regina Invite | Crew | A | 7 | 6.9 | -0.15 |
| Mystic Lake Team Racing Invite | Crew | TR | 8 | 38% | — |
| George Morris Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 6.2 | -0.00 |
| Icebreaker Invitational | Crew | B | 5 | 3.6 | +0.13 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Tufts Invite | Crew | B | 3 | 10.3 | — |
| Rudi Oberg Trophy | Crew | B | 13 | 14.8 | — |
| Nickerson Trophy | Crew | B | 2 | 9.5 | — |
| NEISA Fundamental Symposium | Crew | A | 3 | 4.3 | — |
| Lark Invite | Crew | A | 6 | 5.0 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Harrison Vose |  Duxbury High School |
'22 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
