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McMillan Cup

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 17 17
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 22 22
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 23 23
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 23 23
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 31 31
6 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 31 31
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 39 39
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 44 44
9 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 50 50
10 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 54 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 4 3 DSQ 1 DSQ 2 17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 2 DSQ 1 4 6 1 22
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars DSQ 1 5 7 3 4 23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams RDG 5 6 3 2 3 23
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 4 7 2 9 6 31
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners DSQ 2 3 5 5 5 31
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 7 4 10 4 7 39
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 5 9 8 6 7 9 44
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 8 9 9 8 10 50
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 8 10 10 8 10 8 54
School Team Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars SkipperLuke Tougas '27
CrewHunter Brady '29
CrewForrest Williams '27
CrewPhoenix Bliss '28
CrewGeorge Helme '27
CrewBryce Huntoon '29
CrewGunnar Wey '28
CrewGigi Fischer '28
CrewGweneth Nechas '28
ReserveEddie Kliem '30
ReserveIsabelle Stack '29
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners SkipperIsaac Thompson '28
CrewAlistair Knoblauch '29
CrewToby Clarkson '29
CrewSarah Zucker '30
CrewAndrew Sicuranza '29
CrewLiam Kilian '28
CrewJoshua Herlihy '30
CrewDrake Reid '27
CrewIsabel Dickson '30
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers SkipperZach Earnshaw '27
CrewOliver Browne '27
CrewLili Gaskins '30
CrewOnyx Lacey '29
CrewCole Capizzo '27
CrewPeter Root '29
CrewEvan Tofolo '28
CrewJoseph Gedraitis '27
CrewKevin McNeill '28
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers SkipperMadeline Ammatuna '30
CrewAndrew McCarthy '28
CrewLouis Kirk '29
CrewJoseph Herrick '28
CrewRJ Calanese '29
CrewZalachi Robinson '29
CrewSebastien Lemaire '29
CrewCecilia DeMallie '27
CrewJoseph Little '30
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears SkipperEdward Friedman '29
CrewSarah Evans '28
CrewBenjamin de Ondarza '27
CrewBen Smith '29
CrewEdward Jobson '27
CrewJohn Cecil '28
CrewElizabeth Hetzler '28
CrewKeith Teague '27
CrewMara Maas '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners SkipperAnthony Rex '28
CrewBrianna Sheahan-Nguyen '28
CrewSierra Richardson '27
CrewGabriel Bennet '28
CrewJake Tramel '27
CrewLucas Baker '28
CrewElijah Adams '28
CrewNicholas Parsons '28
CrewLukas Dimaria '29
ReserveZachary Simon '28
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights SkipperThomas Brearley '27
CrewMorgan Zylinski '29
CrewAli Chang '30
CrewRaymond Baik '28
CrewMatthew Grube '29
CrewGavin Vollmer '27
CrewMadelyn Zimmerman '28
CrewElla Dieterlen '27
CrewSolomon Rogatnick '28
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 SkipperAden Newman '27
CrewDathyn Paxton '28
CrewSofia Parker '29
CrewNolan Stanfield '28
CrewMikael Fernandez '27
CrewFrank Bradshaw '27
CrewThomas Harper '28
CrewLauren Aaby '27
CrewJohn Anderson '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 SkipperMargret Bush '28
CrewLogan Hayes '27
CrewOwen Hulme '28
CrewNicolo Martinez '27
CrewLois Herring '27
CrewFord Buckley '27
CrewJackson Lubalin '27
CrewBrendan Hawko '28
CrewWilliam Greene '28
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams SkipperFinneas Coldreck '29
CrewJansen Hill '28
CrewMiles Silverman '27
CrewEmma Schnippering '27
CrewCameron Silvers '27
CrewPierson Falk '28
CrewHarper Gordon '30
CrewTrey Johnston '30
CrewHalsey Carter '30

Performance rating asks, for each skipper: holding every other boat fixed, which rating makes my actual race-by-race finishes least surprising? Boats are valued with the keelboat rating rather than the fleet rating: 0.41 × the skipper's fleet rating from the week before the event (unrated skippers start at 0.44); 0.28 × the mean fleet rating of the rated crew aboard; the skipper's own keelboat offset; the school's program effect. Non-finishes (OCS, DNF and similar) are left out of the fitting, as in the rating model.

Percentile places a rating among the 215 ICSA sailors with a keelboat rating who raced the discipline in the last three seasons. Surprise is how many bits more surprising the finishes were at the pre-event rating than at the performance rating. P(this good or better) simulates the event 3,000 times at the pre-event ratings, with the same regatta-form model as the fleet analysis pages, and reports how often the skipper would score this many points or fewer in the races they sailed.

The keelboat offsets are the current ones (the discipline files keep no weekly history), so a skipper's own offset has already seen this event; offsets are shrunk hard, so the effect is a few hundredths at most. Only skippers are rated.

  • u no fleet rating — the model's level for unrated skippers is the baseline.

Division A  10 boats · 6 races

FinSkipperSchool Races Rating
before		 Perf.
rating		 Δ Percentile
before → perf.		 Surprise
(bits)		 P(this good
or better)		 Avg finish
actual / exp.
1Margret Bush '28U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 26/61.96u2.56+0.6099th → 99th0.761%4.2 / 4.0
2Finneas Coldreck '29University of Rhode Island6/61.262.00+0.7485th → 99th1.253%5.0 / 5.1
3Edward Friedman '29U. S. Coast Guard Academy6/61.37u1.06−0.3187th → 78th0.361%5.2 / 4.9
3Isaac Thompson '28Maine Maritime Academy6/61.532.01+0.4891st → 99th0.565%5.2 / 4.7
3Luke Tougas '27College of Charleston6/61.55u1.82+0.2791st → 97th0.267%5.2 / 4.6
6Aden Newman '27U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 16/61.59u2.62+1.0492nd → 99th1.572%5.3 / 4.5
7Anthony Rex '28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy6/60.62u0.26−0.3655th → 38th0.357%6.5 / 6.2
8Zach Earnshaw '27Massachusetts Maritime Academy6/61.130.16−0.9780th → 22nd3.294%7.3 / 5.3
9Madeline Ammatuna '30SUNY Maritime College6/6-0.14-0.04+0.1010th → 14th0.074%8.3 / 7.4
10Thomas Brearley '27U. S. Military Academy6/6-0.71-1.07−0.371st → 1st0.271%9.0 / 8.3

Conditions — 10/17/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 26.8 kn
From N (353°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1023.2 hPa Rain0.02 in

What this breeze does at Navy — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Navy in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled fleet-race days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →