Massachusetts Maritime Academy '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 (fleet 0.74) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.05 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–21 (25%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 6–6 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 1–15 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (28 matches) the record is 7–21 against 9.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Alymers Team race | skipper | 0.82 | 0.31 | 5–4 | 5.8 | −0.51 | 0.3 | 86% |
| 2026-03-21 | Brenton Cove Team Race | skipper | 0.97 | 0.54 | 1–2 | 1.3 | −0.43 | 0.1 | 82% |
| 2025-04-13 | Alymers Team race | skipper | 0.82 | -2.18 | 0–8 | 1.6 | ≤−3.00 | 2.7 | >99% |
| 2025-03-15 | Mass Maritime Team Race Invite | skipper | 0.38 | 0.55 | 1–7 | 0.9 | +0.17 | 0.0 | 60% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Whalen Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 15.5 | -0.65 |
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.6 | -2.64 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 3 | 16.0 | -0.69 |
| Callagy Ross '14 Regatta | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.2 | -2.09 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| ICSA Regional Teams National Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.5 | 0.39 |
| Icebreaker Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 5 | 11.2 | 0.25 |
| Central 4 FR | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.2 | 1.95 |
| Brenton Cove Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 67% | — |
| Alymers Team race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 56% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.8 | -1.25 |
| McGill Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.5 | 1.20 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 13.2 | 0.24 |
| Chris Loder Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.5 | 0.40 |
| Callagy Ross Regatta | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.4 | -0.77 |
| 2025 Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.9 | 1.26 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern 5 Sunday | Skipper | B | 3 | 8.7 | -1.74 |
| Southern 5 Saturday | Skipper | A | 5 | 9.8 | -1.25 |
| Southern 7 | Skipper | B | — | — | — |
| O’Toole Saturday | Skipper | A | 5 | 8.4 | 0.94 |
| Mass Maritime Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 10 | 20% | — |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.2 | 1.42 |
| Alymers Team race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | B | 2 | 6.5 | 0.84 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 8 | 16.4 | -0.01 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 13.7 | 0.51 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 11 | 7.0 | -0.18 |
| Fall Foliage | Skipper | A | 3 | 8.7 | 0.07 |
| Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 7 | 10.0 | 0.22 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
