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Salt Pond Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 14 14 28
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 27 17 44
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 28 20 48
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 34 42 76
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 27 51 78
6 Boston University Boston University Terriers 51 MRP 43 MRP 94 MRP
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 51 45 96
8 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 52 71 123
9 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 75 MRP 67 MRP 142 MRP
10 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 78 74 152
11 Stags Stags Stags 90 MRP 83 MRP 173 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 1 1 4 2 2 3 14 Owen Grainger '28
Spencer Asofsky '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 2 2 3 9 6 2 27 Zach Earnshaw '27 [1-4]
Caleb Burt '25 [5-7]
Mallory Dietsch '27 [1-4]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 5 4 2 3 1 7 27 Jakub Fuja '27 [1-4]
Edward Herman '28 [5-7]
Ethan Martin '28 [1-4]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 3 8 1 1 5 4 28 Caroline Odell '27 [1-4]
Benjamin Reeser '28 [5-7]
Julian Henderson '27 [1-4]
Tomas Riccio '28 [5-7]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 6 5 5 4 7 5 34 Zachary Amelotte '27
Mary Wallace '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 4 6 6 6 4 1 51 MRP Richard Kalich '26 [1-7]
Zachary Fournier '26 [1-4]
Sage Andrews '28 [5-7]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 8 3 8 7 9 8 51 Sean Morrison '27
Julia Overmyer '27
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 DNF 9 7 5 3 9 52 Curtis Mallory '28
Axel Grundberg Rydmark '27
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 9 7 7 10 8 8 6 75 MRP William Delong '25
Audrey Bilotta '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 DNF 11 11 10 11 DNS 78 Georgia Green '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Colin Kenny '28 [3-4]
Genevieve Gordon '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Stags Stags Stags 10 9 10 9 DSQ 10 10 90 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 2 1 2 1 2 4 14 Christopher Chwalk '28
Aurora Meunier Mott '28
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 1 3 1 4 4 3 17 Jack Crager '27
Frankie Sparrow '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 4 2 5 3 1 2 20 David Vinogradov '28 [1-2]
Joey Richardson '28 [3-7]
Gabriella Fields '28 [1-2]
Sam Puleio '28 [3-7]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 5 6 7 6 7 7 42 Ella Towner '27
Jackson Hurd-Messom '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 3 4 4 2 3 1 43 MRP Buck Rathbun '28 [1-7]
Nicholas David '26 [1-2]
Tim Nguyen '28 [3-7]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 DNF 5 3 5 6 9 45 Tyler Winowiecki '27
Caelan Haddock '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 6 7 8 8 9 6 51 Kevin Mcneill '28 [1-2]
Evan Tofolo '28 [3-7]
Hugo Langlais '28 [1-2]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 8 7 9 6 7 5 5 67 MRP Tiernan O'Kane '26
Damien Pearl '26
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 10 DNF 11 9 9 10 10 71 Harry Boutemy '24
Oscar Tesniere '28
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 9 10 11 10 11 DNS 74 David Rush '28
Alex Oh '28
Stags Stags Stags 9 8 8 10 DNF 8 8 83 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1122334
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2233445
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears8899101011
StagsStags Stags3344556
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen99101011111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers4455667
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds5566778
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams10101111112
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks6677889
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77889910
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts111111223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1122334
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2233445
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears8899101011
StagsStags Stags3344556
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen99101011111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers4455667
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds5566778
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams10101111112
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks6677889
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77889910
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts111111223

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 98%  ·  Pressure 1014.4 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.5 kn
avg  ·  max 17.2 kn
Gusts to 34.2 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity98% Pressure1014.4 hPa Rain0.69 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 18 kn · NE 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →