U. S. Coast Guard Academy '27
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 21.09 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.112 rating points from 26 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2023 | U. S. Coast Guard Academy | 1.47 | 49.20 | 10.00 | 14 of 15 | 14 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 (fleet 2.21) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.05 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 10–14 (42%) as crew 1–3 (25%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 6–3 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 4–11 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | — | 1–3 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (28 matches) the record is 11–17 against 13.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 1.93 | 0.32 | 6–3 | 8.0 | −1.60 | 2.5 | 99% |
| 2025-04-12 | NEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophy | skipper | 1.84 | 1.94 | 1–8 | 0.9 | +0.10 | 0.0 | 64% |
| 2025-03-29 | Callahan Trophy | skipper | 1.74 | 1.47 | 3–3 | 3.2 | −0.27 | 0.0 | 80% |
| 2024-03-23 | BU Team Race | crew | 2.38 | 2.58 | 1–3 | 0.9 | +0.20 | 0.0 | 65% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 12.5 | 1.54 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2026 Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 13.2 | 1.44 |
| Sister Esther Whalen Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 11.1 | 2.39 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.5 | 3.23 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 12.8 | 2.27 |
| The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 2 | 15.0 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2025 Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.9 | 2.13 |
| Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 8.1 | 2.82 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | B | 5 | 3.0 | 2.92 |
| Dave Perry Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 13.4 | 1.67 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Western National Semi Finals Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.5 | 2.49 |
| NEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophy Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 12.1 | 1.48 |
| Callahan Trophy Women's | Skipper | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 11.4 | 1.87 |
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 4.5 | 2.02 |
| Coast Guard Invite | Skipper | A | 5 | 10.8 | 2.28 |
| Bears Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.0 | 2.22 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| BU Team Race | Crew | TR | 5 | 20% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Trophy | Crew | B | 14 | 10.6 | -0.08 |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 6 | 6.5 | -0.03 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Crew | A | 2 | 10.0 | -0.20 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Caroline Odell |  Yorktown High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Caroline Odell |  The Field School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Caroline Odell |  Jackson-Reed High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Caroline Odell |  Robinson Secondary |
'23 |
| ISSA | Caroline Odell |  Episcopal High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Caroline Odell |  Walt Whitman High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Caroline Odell |  Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
