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Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 37 22 59
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 39 33 72
3 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 56 53 109
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 62 49 111
5 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 87 37 124
6 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 38 88 126
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 51 88 139
8 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 79 91 170
9 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 119 72 191
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 105 MRP 97 MRP 202 MRP
11 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 93 MRP 138 MRP 231 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 3 2 5 1 1 5 1 2 4 6 37 Sage Andrews '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Buck Rathbun '28 [5-6, 9-11]
Tiare Sierra '25 [1-6]
Ethan Stoehr '26 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 4 5 1 1 5 2 3 5 1 9 2 38 Genevieve Lau '25
Victoria Hason '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 2 5 10 6 5 1 4 3 1 1 39 John Mason '28
Ella Gibson '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 1 3 4 3 3 4 8 6 6 7 51 Emilia Perriera '28
Caelan Haddock '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 4 4 8 8 8 8 3 5 2 3 56 Ted Richardsson '27
Trixie Williams '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 10 6 7 2 4 10 7 4 3 4 62 Gabrielle Ahitow '28 [1-6]
Jack Whitman '27 [7-8]
Isabella Cho '27 [9-11]
Isabella Cho '27 [1-8]
Jack Whitman '27 [9-11]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 10 7 7 6 10 11 6 2 7 5 8 79 Aoife Mahoney '27 [1-4, 7-11]
Julian Bokulich '27 [5-6]
Audrey Bilotta '26 [1-4, 7-11]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 8 8 10 3 7 6 9 10 9 8 9 87 Michael Cunniff '26
Morgan Martucci '27
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 6 9 9 9 7 2 6 8 10 5 93 MRP Ellie Menezes '28
Benjamin Siegel '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 9 9 8 2 4 9 7 9 10 7 11 105 MRP Caleb Burt '25 [1-8]
Joseph Gedraitis '27 [9-11]
Hermann Elger '28 [1-8]
Thomas Thurston '27 [9-11]
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 11 11 11 11 11 10 11 11 11 11 10 119 Owen Peterson '28
Owen Miller '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 1 2 3 1 2 4 1 2 1 2 22 Max Teo '28
Delanie Massenet '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 3 4 5 3 3 2 4 1 2 1 33 Pierson Falk '28 [1-11]
Emma Schnippering '27 [1-8]
Olivia Dutra '28 [9-11]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 1 4 3 1 2 1 3 5 6 4 7 37 Jane Matthews '26
Sawyer Obrien '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 6 1 2 5 5 6 7 3 7 5 49 Max Boni '28 [1-6]
Grant Smith '28 [7-11]
Matthew Chen '27 [1-6]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 2 6 8 6 6 1 3 5 6 6 53 Sean Lund '26
Abigail Forcier '25
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 8 5 8 4 4 4 11 10 4 3 11 72 Henry Donahue '27
Alexander Tucker '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 8 9 6 9 10 10 2 9 10 9 88 Olivia Blackmer '28 [1-11]
Mikaela Williams '27 [1-6]
Amelia Conkey '26 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 7 5 10 8 7 8 9 10 9 8 88 Alex Anderson '26
Eloïse Mouille '28
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 9 9 10 9 10 9 9 8 7 8 3 91 Brooklyn Geary '24
Kai Latham '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 10 10 7 7 7 8 5 6 8 5 4 97 MRP Kevin Mcneill '28
Nicholas Delvecchio '27
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 11 11 11 11 DNS DNS 7 11 11 11 10 138 MRP Asher Moss '25
Melvin Carcamo '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers779911111313151517
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags8810101212141416167
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen13131515171788101012
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers9911111313151517178
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1010121214141616779
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats141416167799111113
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies11111313151517178810
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151717881010121214
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121214141616779911
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals161677991111131315
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech17178810101212141416

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers8810101212141416167
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags9911111313151517178
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen141416167799111113
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1010121214141616779
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds11111313151517178810
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats15151717881010121214
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121214141616779911
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams161677991111131315
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks13131515171788101012
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals17178810101212141416
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech779911111313151517
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Sage Andrews '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Buck Rathbun '28 [5-6, 9-11]		 Tiare Sierra '25 [1-6]
Ethan Stoehr '26 [7-11]
Terriers Max Teo '28 Delanie Massenet '27
Fairfield University Fairfield University Michael Cunniff '26 Morgan Martucci '27
Stags Jane Matthews '26 Sawyer Obrien '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Caleb Burt '25 [1-8]
Joseph Gedraitis '27 [9-11]		 Hermann Elger '28 [1-8]
Thomas Thurston '27 [9-11]
Buccaneers Kevin Mcneill '28 Nicholas Delvecchio '27
McGill University McGill University Genevieve Lau '25 Victoria Hason '25
Redbirds Alex Anderson '26 Eloïse Mouille '28
Northeastern University Northeastern University Gabrielle Ahitow '28 [1-6]
Jack Whitman '27 [7-8]
Isabella Cho '27 [9-11]		 Isabella Cho '27 [1-8]
Jack Whitman '27 [9-11]
Huskies Max Boni '28 [1-6]
Grant Smith '28 [7-11]		 Matthew Chen '27 [1-6]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Emilia Perriera '28 Caelan Haddock '25
Seahawks Olivia Blackmer '28 [1-11] Mikaela Williams '27 [1-6]
Amelia Conkey '26 [7-11]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Aoife Mahoney '27 [1-4, 7-11]
Julian Bokulich '27 [5-6]		 Audrey Bilotta '26 [1-4, 7-11]
Minutemen Brooklyn Geary '24 Kai Latham '24
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Ted Richardsson '27 Trixie Williams '26
Wildcats Sean Lund '26 Abigail Forcier '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island John Mason '28 Ella Gibson '27
Rams Pierson Falk '28 [1-11] Emma Schnippering '27 [1-8]
Olivia Dutra '28 [9-11]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Ellie Menezes '28 Benjamin Siegel '26
Cardinals Asher Moss '25 Melvin Carcamo '28
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Owen Peterson '28 Owen Miller '27
Worcester Polytech Henry Donahue '27 Alexander Tucker '27

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1019.6 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From N (360°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1019.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →