Northeastern University '27
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 55.43 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.114 rating points from 24 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 | Northeastern University | 1.84 | 60.46 | 46.43 | 8 of 14 | 8 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 (fleet 2.14) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–18 (28%) as crew 0–20 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 0–7 | 0–20 |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 7–11 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (43 matches) the record is 7–36 against 8.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.64 | -1.36 | 0–5 | 0.9 | ≤−3.00 | 1.6 | >99% |
| 2026-03-07 | The Wood Trophy | crew | 2.27 | -0.73 | 0–20 | 1.9 | ≤−3.00 | 2.8 | >99% |
| 2025-03-22 | BU Team Race | skipper | 1.32 | 1.88 | 2–8 | 1.3 | +0.56 | 0.3 | 40% |
| 2025-03-15 | Mass Maritime Team Race Invite | skipper | 1.14 | 1.65 | 5–3 | 4.1 | +0.52 | 0.3 | 38% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.0 | 2.21 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.4 | 2.13 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1 B Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 10.8 | 2.26 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2026 Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.1 | 1.86 |
| Stu Nelson @ Connecticut College 2026 | Skipper | A | 4 | 14.2 | 0.87 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.3 | 1.62 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| The Wood Trophy | Crew | TR | 20 | 0% | — |
| Women's SNE Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| Southern 5 Saturday | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.2 | -0.85 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 8 | 8.6 | 1.90 |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 15.8 | 0.60 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 14.8 | 1.25 |
| The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 11.8 | 1.52 |
| Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's | Skipper | C | 7 | 9.1 | 2.20 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.0 | 2.25 |
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.1 | 0.76 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Mass Maritime Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 10 | 70% | — |
| Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.8 | 0.85 |
| Central Series Tufts | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.4 | 1.86 |
| BU Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 20% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Terrier Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.5 | 1.10 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 10.8 | 1.87 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Crew | A | 11 | 5.6 | -0.06 |
| Eagle Invite | Skipper | C | 6 | 15.7 | — |
| Charles Invitational | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.0 | -1.36 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series 7 | Skipper | B | 8 | 9.0 | 0.21 |
| 2024 Icebreaker Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 5 | 11.2 | 1.02 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Peak Foliage | Crew | B | 4 | 1.0 | — |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 13.1 | 1.09 |
| The Harvard Invitational | Skipper | A | 2 | 13.5 | 1.39 |
| BU Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 7.9 | 1.99 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Isabella Cho | '23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.