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Central Series Tufts

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 62
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 86
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 115
4 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 175
5 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 201
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 220
7 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 264
8 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 284
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 299
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 1 2 2 1 1 2 8 1 3 1 22 Shea Smith '25
Dory Russell '28
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 2 1 6 2 3 5 3 3 5 4 34 Isabella Cho '27
Matthew Chen '27
Brown University Brown University Bears A 4 3 1 8 2 4 5 9 2 2 40 Charles Case '26
Marisa Coghlin '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 7 5 3 3 7 3 4 2 1 5 40 Blake Vogel '26
Thomas Mazzeo '26
Brown University Brown University Bears B 3 4 7 5 5 6 2 7 4 3 46 Jean-Luc Depardieu '27
Mara Oancea '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 A 5 8 10 7 6 1 1 6 12 7 63 Sean Lund '26
Abigail Forcier '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 9 7 9 6 12 9 6 5 8 10 81 Gabrielle Ahitow '28
Ryan Tedeschi '28
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 8 6 4 4 16 8 14 8 7 9 84 Sean Morrison '27
Kate Johnson '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B 10 14 12 11 4 10 7 4 10 11 93 William Delong '25
Emma Kelly '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 6 18 5 10 10 12 13 16 6 12 108 Kai Latham '25
Audrey Bilotta '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 B 11 9 13 9 14 7 10 10 15 14 112 Joseph Cataldo '28
Amelia Fisher '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 18 10 15 14 11 11 11 14 9 8 121 Ryan Wiliani '28
Alice Maffie '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 13 11 11 13 15 14 9 15 18 17 136 Olivia Blackmer '28
Julia Overmyer '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 A 17 15 BKD 15 8 15 16 12 14 13 139 Gavin Tucker '26
Jacob Mitchell '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 15 16 8 17 17 17 12 13 13 15 143 Colin Kenny '28
Natalie Wey '28
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 B 12 13 14 18 9 18 17 11 17 16 145 Kathleen Hanson '25
Bella Gioseffi '27
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 16 12 17 16 18 16 18 18 11 6 148 Aengus Onken '28
Kanan Clifford '28
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 14 17 16 12 13 13 15 17 16 18 151 Kate Adams '28
Caroline Meckel '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3333333333
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen8888888888
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers4444444444
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 19999999999
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 225252525252525252525
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies5555555555
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks6666666666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats10101010101010101010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears12121212121212121212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen17171717171717171717
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers13131313131313131313
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 118181818181818181818
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 226262626262626262626
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies14141414141414141414
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks15151515151515151515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos16161616161616161616

Conditions — 04/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 86%  ·  Pressure 1009.9 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 43°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 25.7 kn
From N (359°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity86% Pressure1009.9 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tufts: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →