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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 6 7 13
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 13 18 31
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 25 14 39
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 17 29 46
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 41 32 73
6 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 42 40 82
7 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 36 54 90
8 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 54 46 100
9 Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix 58 54 112
10 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 78 52 130
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 58 76 134
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 74 67 141
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Connor Mchugh '28
Dawson Chambers-Tartaglino '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 2 3 2 2 13 Daniel Van Heeckeren '26
Mara Oancea '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 3 3 3 2 3 3 17 Edward Herman '28
Demetry Spinola '26
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 4 4 4 4 5 25 Sage Andrews '28
Danielle Bogacheva '27
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 7 7 8 5 5 4 36 James Knowlton '25
Yunwen Xu '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 9 5 7 9 6 41 Isabella Cho '27
Matthew Chen '27
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 6 5 6 6 6 DNF 42 Jane Matthews '26
Dominic Pistone '28
Bates College Bates College Bobcats DNF 8 10 8 7 8 54 Greta Shuster '25
Genevieve Gordon '28
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 6 9 9 DNS DNS 58 Olivia Blackmer '28 [1-6]
Julia Overmyer '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Kenia Viri '27 [3-4]
Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix DNF DNF 7 10 8 7 58
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 74 Devyn Weed '25
Avery Wilson '25
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 Ian Mccaffrey '25 [1-6]
Brian Graham '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Maya Palmer '26 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 Jed Lory '27
Ethan Martin '28
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 2 5 2 2 1 14 Buck Rathbun '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Luu '27 [3-4]
Tim Nguyen '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 3 2 3 3 4 18 Quinn Brighton '27
William Salerno '25
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 8 4 3 7 4 3 29
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 5 7 4 6 6 32 Gabrielle Ahitow '28
Ryan Tedeschi '28
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 11 7 6 6 5 5 40 Timothy Cronin '27
Morgan Martucci '27
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 6 10 8 5 9 8 46 Amanda Yolles '26
Eliza Loring '28
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 9 9 10 9 8 7 52 Ian Mccaffrey '25 [1-6]
Brian Graham '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Maya Palmer '26 [3-4]
Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix 5 6 4 DNF DNS DNS 54
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 10 11 9 8 7 9 54 Adrian Whitney '26
Rufus Fender-Reid '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 67 Lucas Wiatrowski '27
Varda Kotlyarsky '28
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 12 DNS DNS DNS DNS 76 Victoria Sikorjak '27 [1-6]
Nat Altuzar '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Amelia Conkey '26 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths113355
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats224466
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags557799
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats12122244
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies66881010
PhoenixPhoenix Phoenix77991111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 18810101212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 299111111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1010121222
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs11111133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths224466
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats335577
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers446688
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears557799
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags66881010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats113355
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies77991111
PhoenixPhoenix Phoenix8810101212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 199111111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 21010121222
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks11111133
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs12122244

Conditions — 03/29/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 14.1 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From NNE (23°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Roger Williams: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.49 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Roger Williams by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Roger Williams).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →